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Electricity consumption prediction with functional linear regression using spline estimators

Author

Listed:
  • Jaromir Antoch
  • Lubos Prchal
  • Maria Rosaria De Rosa
  • Pascal Sarda

Abstract

A functional linear regression model linking observations of a functional response variable with measurements of an explanatory functional variable is considered. This model serves to analyse a real data set describing electricity consumption in Sardinia. The interest lies in predicting either oncoming weekends' or oncoming weekdays' consumption, provided actual weekdays' consumption is known. A B-spline estimator of the functional parameter is used. Selected computational issues are addressed as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaromir Antoch & Lubos Prchal & Maria Rosaria De Rosa & Pascal Sarda, 2010. "Electricity consumption prediction with functional linear regression using spline estimators," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(12), pages 2027-2041.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:37:y:2010:i:12:p:2027-2041
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760903214395
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Benatia, David & Carrasco, Marine & Florens, Jean-Pierre, 2017. "Functional linear regression with functional response," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 269-291.
    2. Elías, Antonio & Jiménez, Raúl & Shang, Han Lin, 2022. "On projection methods for functional time series forecasting," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    3. Ferraty, F. & Van Keilegom, I. & Vieu, P., 2012. "Regression when both response and predictor are functions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 10-28.
    4. Yousri Slaoui, 2020. "Recursive nonparametric regression estimation for dependent strong mixing functional data," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 665-697, October.
    5. Vaz, Lucélia Viviane & Filho, Getulio Borges da Silveira, 2017. "Functional Autoregressive Models: An Application to Brazilian Hourly Electricity Load," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 37(2), November.
    6. Qiu, Zhiping & Chen, Jianwei & Zhang, Jin-Ting, 2021. "Two-sample tests for multivariate functional data with applications," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    7. Ismail Shah & Francesco Lisi, 2020. "Forecasting of electricity price through a functional prediction of sale and purchase curves," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 242-259, March.
    8. Ufuk Beyaztas & Han Lin Shang & Aylin Alin, 2022. "Function-on-Function Partial Quantile Regression," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 149-174, March.
    9. Martínez-Hernández, Israel & Genton, Marc G. & González-Farías, Graciela, 2019. "Robust depth-based estimation of the functional autoregressive model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 66-79.
    10. T. Górecki & Ł. Smaga, 2017. "Multivariate analysis of variance for functional data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(12), pages 2172-2189, September.
    11. Liebl, Dominik, 2013. "Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices: A Functional Data Perspective," MPRA Paper 50881, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Goia, Aldo, 2012. "A functional linear model for time series prediction with exogenous variables," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(5), pages 1005-1011.

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