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Testing Alternative Specifications Of Reserve Flow Equations: The Japanese Experience, 1959--1986

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Author Info
BUN SONG LEE
MARK E. WOHAR
Abstract

Using annual data for Japan spanning the period 1959--1986, alternative reduced form equations are derived and various monetarist propositions are tested against their Keynesian alternatives. Employing specification and exogeneity tests in order to choose between restricted and unrestricted model specifications -- concerning purchasing power parity and exchange market pressure -- we find evidence of deviation from purchasing power parity. The results also indicate that the monetary approach is favored over the Keynesian alternative. Finally, the results suggest that foreign disturbances are transmitted to the exchange market pressure variable by foreign money supply growth, controlling for real foreign income growth, rather than through foreign inflation. [430]

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Article provided by Korean International Economic Association in its journal International Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 5 (1991)
Issue (Month): 1 (April)
Pages: 35-50
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Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:5:y:1991:i:1:p:35-50

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  1. Girton, Lance & Roper, Don, 1977. "A Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure Applied to the Postwar Canadian Experience," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(4), pages 537-48, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kouri, Pentti, J K & Porter, Michael G, 1974. "International Capital Flows and Portfolio Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(3), pages 443-67, May/June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Connolly, Michael & Dantas da Silveira, Jose, 1979. "Exchange Market Pressure in Postwar Brazil: An Application of the Girton-Roper Monetary Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(3), pages 448-54, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Taylor, Mark P., 1987. "On granger causality and the monetary approach to the balance of payments," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 239-253. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Coghlan, Richard, 1978. "Alternative Portfolio Approaches to Balance of Payments Adjustment," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 25(1), pages 13-28, February.
  6. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Pesaran, M H, 1974. "On the General Problem of Model Selection," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2), pages 153-71, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Burkett, Paul & Ramirez, Javier & Wohar, Mark, 1987. "The determinants of international reserves in the small open economy: The case of Honduras," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 439-450. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Hausman, Jerry A, 1978. "Specification Tests in Econometrics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1251-71, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. D. Wilford & Walton Wilford, 1977. "Monetary approach to balance of payments: On world prices and the reserve flow equation," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 113(1), pages 31-39, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Branson, William H, 1975. "Monetarist and Keynesian Models of the Transmission of Inflation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(2), pages 115-19, May.
  12. Hahn, Frank H., 1977. "The monetary approach to the balance of payments," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 231-249, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Hamada, Koichi, 1976. "A Strategic Analysis of Monetary Interdependence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(4), pages 677-700, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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