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Domestic And International Sources Of Inflation In Developing Countries: Some Evidence From The Monetary Approach

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A. F. DARRAT
A. C. ARIZE
Abstract

Using the monetary approach, this paper examines empirically the causes of inflation in twenty-five developing countries. In addition to money supply, the underlying money demand function and foreign exchange rates are taken into account in the inflationary process. The lag structures arc determined by Akaike's FPE criterion and the exogeneity assumptions are assessed by Granger-type causality tests. The results suggest that the monetary approach provides adequate explanation of inflation across all countries examined. Besides changes in expected inflation and foreign exchange rates, movements in base money in these countries have significantly contributed to their inflationary pressures. [134, 431]

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Article provided by Korean International Economic Association in its journal International Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 4 (1990)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 55-69
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Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:4:y:1990:i:4:p:55-69

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Friedman, Milton, 1977. "Nobel Lecture: Inflation and Unemployment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 451-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Roger K. Conway & P.A.V.B. Swamy & John F. Yanagida, 1983. "The impossibility of causality testing," Special Studies Papers 178, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  4. Hsiao, Cheng, 1981. "Autoregressive modelling and money-income causality detection," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 85-106. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Sheehey, Edmund J., 1986. "Unanticipated inflation, devaluation and output in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 665-671, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Darrat A. F. & Lopez F. A., 1989. "Has Inflation Uncertainty Hampered Economic Growth In Latin America?," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-15, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Farley, John U. & Hinich, Melvin & McGuire, Timothy W., 1975. "Some comparisons of tests for a shift in the slopes of a multivariate linear time series model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 297-318, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Jacobs, Rodney L & Leamer, Edward E & Ward, Michael P, 1979. "Difficulties with Testing for Causation," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(3), pages 401-13, July.
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  9. Watt, P A, 1979. "Tests of Equality between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions When Disturbance Variances Are Unequal: Some Small Sample Properties," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(4), pages 391-96, December.
  10. Schmidt, Peter & Sickles, Robin, 1977. "Some Further Evidence on the Use of the Chow Test under Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(5), pages 1293-98, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Driscoll, Michael J & Lahiri, Ashok, K, 1983. "Income-Velocity of Money in Agricultural Developing Economies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(3), pages 393-401, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Fair, Ray C, 1970. "The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 507-16, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Nugent, Jeffrey B & Glezakos, Constantine, 1982. "Phillips Curves in Developing Countries: The Latin American Case," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(2), pages 321-34, January.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, 1995. "Source Of Inflation In Post-Revolutionary Iran," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 61-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Amir Kia, 2004. "Deficits, Debt Financing, Monetary Policy and Inflation in Developing Countries: Internal or External Factors?," Carleton Economic Papers 04-15, Carleton University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Amir Kia, 2006. "Deficits, Debt Financing, Monetary Policy and Inflation in Developing Countries: Internal or External Factors? Evidence from Iran," Carleton Economic Papers 06-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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