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Empty Neighborhoods: Using Constructs to Predict the Probability of Housing Abandonment

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  • Victoria Chaney Morckel

Abstract

Housing abandonment contributes to neighborhood decline. It is a significant problem, especially in places facing population loss. One approach for dealing with abandonment is to prevent it from occurring in the first place. However, before we can implement successful prevention efforts, it is necessary to better understand what abandonment is and what factors predict it. Therefore, to assist planners and policymakers in allocating scarce resources, this study has three objectives. The first is to determine whether there are constructs that underlie abandonment. The second is to see whether those constructs predict abandonment. The third is to examine whether the effects of the constructs on the probability of abandonment are the same for two cities. The study finds that abandonment consists of four constructs: market conditions, gentrification, physical neglect, and socioeconomic conditions. The first three of these significantly predict the probability of a house being abandoned. The study also finds that the effects are similar for the two cities of interest.

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  • Victoria Chaney Morckel, 2013. "Empty Neighborhoods: Using Constructs to Predict the Probability of Housing Abandonment," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 469-496, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:houspd:v:23:y:2013:i:3:p:469-496
    DOI: 10.1080/10511482.2013.788051
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    Cited by:

    1. Masatomo Suzuki & Yasushi Asami, 2020. "Shrinking housing market, long-term vacancy, and withdrawal from housing market," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 619-638, October.
    2. Shaye Palagi & Amy Javernick-Will, 2020. "Pathways to Livable Relocation Settlements Following Disaster," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-25, April.
    3. Hyejeong Yoo & Youngsang Kwon, 2019. "Different Factors Affecting Vacant Housing According to Regional Characteristics in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Justin Hollander & Michael Johnson & Rachel Bogardus Drew & Jingyu Tu, 2019. "Changing urban form in a shrinking city," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 46(5), pages 963-991, June.
    5. Lee, Ryun Jung & Newman, Galen, 2021. "The relationship between vacant properties and neighborhood gentrification," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    6. Kanayama, Yuki & Sadayuki, Taisuke, 2021. "What types of houses remain vacant? Evidence from a municipality in Tokyo, Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Suzuki, Masatomo & Hino, Kimihiro & Muto, Sachio, 2022. "Negative externalities of long-term vacant homes: Evidence from Japan," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    8. Jeong-Il Park, 2019. "A Multilevel Model Approach for Assessing the Effects of House and Neighborhood Characteristics on Housing Vacancy: A Case of Daegu, South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-13, April.

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