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Asymmetric dependence patterns in financial time series

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  • Manuel Ammann
  • Stephan Suss

Abstract

This article proposes a new copula-based approach to test for asymmetries in the dependence structure of financial time series. Simply splitting observations into subsamples and comparing conditional correlations lead to spurious results due to the well-known conditioning bias. Our suggested framework is able to circumvent these problems. Applying our test to market data, we statistically confirm the widespread notion of significant asymmetric dependence structures between daily changes of the VIX, VXN, VDAXnew, and VSTOXX volatility indices and their corresponding equity index returns. A maximum likelihood method is used to perform a likelihood ratio test between the ordinary t-copula and its asymmetric extension. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the first empirical implementation of the skewed t-copula to generate meta-skewed Student's t-distributions. Its asymmetry leads to significant improvements in the description of the dependence structure between equity returns and implied volatility changes.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal The European Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 15 (2009)
Issue (Month): 7-8 ()
Pages: 703-719

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Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:15:y:2009:i:7-8:p:703-719

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Related research

Keywords: copulae; asymmetric dependence concepts;

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Cited by:
  1. Jin Zhang & Dietmar Maringer, 2010. "Asset Pair-Copula Selection with Downside Risk Minimization," Working Papers 037, COMISEF.
  2. Yue Peng & Wing Ng, 2012. "Analysing financial contagion and asymmetric market dependence with volatility indices via copulas," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 49-74, February.
  3. González, Javier & Muñoz, Alberto, 2013. "Functional analysis techniques to improve similarity matrices in discrimination problems," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 120-134.

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