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Long-horizon consumption risk and the cross-section of returns: new tests and international evidence

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Author Info
Joachim Grammig
Andreas Schrimpf
Michael Schuppli

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Abstract

This paper investigates whether measuring consumption risk over long horizons can improve the empirical performance of the consumption-based capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) for size and value premia in international stock markets (USA, UK, and Germany). In order to account for commonalities in size and book-to-market sorted portfolios, we also include industry portfolios in our set of test assets. Our results show that, contrary to the findings of Parker and Julliard [2005. Consumption risk and the cross- section of expected returns. Journal of Political Economy 113, no. 1: 185-222], the model falls short of providing an accurate description of the cross-section of returns under our modified empirical approach. At the same time, however, measuring consumption risk over longer horizons typically yields lower risk-aversion estimates. Thus, our results suggest that more plausible parameter estimates - as opposed to lower pricing errors - can be regarded as the main achievement of the long-horizon CCAPM.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal The European Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 15 (2009)
Issue (Month): 5-6 ()
Pages: 511-532
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Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:15:y:2009:i:5-6:p:511-532

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Related research
Keywords: consumption-based asset pricing; long-run consumption risk; value puzzle; international stock markets;

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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