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Modeling asset returns with alternative stable distributions

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Author Info
Stefan Mittnik
Svetlozar Rachev
Abstract

In the 1960's Benoit Mandelbrot and Eugene Fama argued strongly in favor of the stable Paretian distribution as a model for the unconditional distribution of asset returns. Although a substantial body of subsequent empirical studies supported this position, the stable Paretian model plays a minor role in current empirical work. While in the economics and finance literature stable distributions are virtually exclusively associated with stable Paretian distributions, in this paper we adopt a more fundamental view and extend the concept of stability to a variety of probabilistic schemes. These schemes give rise to alternative stable distributions, which we compare empirically using S&P 500 stock return data. In this comparison the Weibull distribution, associated with both the nonrandom-minimum and geometric-random summation schemes dominates the other stable distributions considered-including the stable Paretian model.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Econometric Reviews.

Volume (Year): 12 (1993)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 261-330
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Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:12:y:1993:i:3:p:261-330

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Related research
Keywords: Nonrandom Stable Distributions; Geometric Stable Distribution; Weibull Distribution; Financial Modeling;

Cited by:
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  1. Cornelis A. Los, 2005. "The Degree of Stability of Price Diffusion," Finance 0508006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  2. Anestis Antoniadis & Andrey Feuerverger & Paulo Gonçalves, 2006. "Wavelet-Based Estimation for Univariate Stable Laws," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 779-807, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jonathan Hill, 2006. "On Functional Central Limit Theorems for Dependent, Heterogeneous Tail Arrays with Applications to Tail Index and Tail Dependence Estimators," Working Papers 0607, Florida International University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Uwe KUECHLER & Kirsten NEUMANN & Michael SOERSENSEN & Arnfried STRELLER, . "Stock Returns and Hyperbolic Distributions," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1994-23, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  5. Stefan Lundbergh & Timo Teräsvirta, 1999. "Modelling Economic High-Frequency Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-009/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  6. Yarema Okhrin & Wolfgang Schmid, 2007. "Comparison of different estimation techniques for portfolio selection," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer, vol. 91(2), pages 109-127, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Sergio Da Silva, 2004. "Levy Flights, Autocorrelation, and Slow Convergence," Finance 0405021, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  8. Trino-Manuel Niguez & Javier Perote, 2004. "Forecasting the density of asset returns," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2004/479, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
  9. Mercik, Szymon & Weron, Rafal, 2002. "Origins of scaling in FX markets," MPRA Paper 2294, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  10. B. Rauhut, 1996. "Iterated probability distributions and extremes with random sample size," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 145-155, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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