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The econometrics of arms races

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Author Info

  • Ron Smith
  • J. Paul Dunne
  • Eftychia Nikolaidou

Abstract

There is now a large empirical literature on estimating arms races. This paper surveys some of the econometric issues involved in estimating action-reaction models of such races. Starting from the traditional Richardson model, it examines issues of identification, specification, and the role of expectations and structural stability. This is done both for the case where the variables are stationary and where they may be I(1) and cointegrated.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Defence and Peace Economics.

Volume (Year): 11 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 31-43

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Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:11:y:2000:i:1:p:31-43

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Related research

Keywords: Arms races; Econometrics; Action-reaction models; Richardson model;

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Cited by:
  1. Coram Alex & Noakes Lyle, 2010. "Super-Agents and the Problem of Controlling the Dynamics of Regional Arms Races," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-42, September.
  2. Aamer S. Abu-Qarn & Suleiman Abu-Bader, 2008. "On The Dynamics Of The Israeli-Arab Arms Race," Working Papers 0809, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
  3. Christos Kollias & Suzanna-Maria Paleologou, 2002. "Is there a Greek-Turkish arms race? Some further empirical results from causality tests," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 321-328.
  4. Fanny Coulomb & Jacques Fontanel, 2003. "Disarmament: A century of economic thought," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 193-208.
  5. Nadir Ocal, 2003. "Are the military expenditures of India and Pakistan external determinants for each other: An empirical investigation," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 141-149.

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