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A real options approach to valuing strategic flexibility in uncertain construction projects

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Author Info
David N. Ford
Diane M. Lander
John J. Voyer
Abstract

To maximize project value, managers of construction projects must recognize, plan for and strategically manage uncertainty. Current construction planning, estimating, and management practices regarding uncertainty can undervalue projects by failing to exploit opportunities to increase project value, as well as minimize risks. Dynamic uncertainties are described as project conditions that cannot be resolved adequately through improved description or planning for pre-project strategy selection. A real options approach is proposed for proactively using strategic flexibility to recognize and capture project values hidden in dynamic uncertainties. An example of a proposal for a toll road project demonstrates a method of valuing managerial flexibility to evaluate and select strategies. Impacts of real options in other domains, along with this example, are the basis for concluding that using a structured real options approach in construction management can increase returns through improved project planning and management. Potential impacts of the use of real options are discussed, and challenges in valuing real options in construction projects are identified as the basis for future research.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Construction Management & Economics.

Volume (Year): 20 (2002)
Issue (Month): 4 (June)
Pages: 343-351
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Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:20:y:2002:i:4:p:343-351

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Related research
Keywords: Project Planning; Strategy; Risk Management; Real Options; Project Management;

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Malik Ranasinghe, 1999. "Private sector participation in infrastructure projects: a methodology to analyse viability of BOT," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 613-623, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kemna, A. G. Z. & Vorst, A. C. F., 1990. "A pricing method for options based on average asset values," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 113-129, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Lenos Trigeorgis, 1993. "Real Options and Interactions With Financial Flexibility," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 22(3), Fall.
  5. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Mahdi Mattar & Charles Cheah, 2006. "Valuing large engineering projects under uncertainty: private risk effects and real options," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 847-860, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Yu-Lin Huang & Shih-Pei Chou, 2006. "Valuation of the minimum revenue guarantee and the option to abandon in BOT infrastructure projects," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 379-389, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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