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Total project cost: a simplified model for decision makers

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Author Info
Malik Ranasinghe
Abstract

A simplified model for total project cost is developed in this paper to meet the numerous requests from decision makers for a model that can be used to estimate the total project cost from the estimated cash flows and, more importantly, to check the accuracy of the project cost estimates in feasibility studies that require prudent decisions. It begins with a base cost estimate in constant dollars and discrete cash flows with discrete inflation rates as practised by the construction industry. The discrete inflation rates are used to estimate the current dollar costs of the project. The effects of inflation are estimated as escalation during construction. Using the future value concept, interest during construction is estimated, in a simplified approach, to estimate the total project cost. Data from an actual feasibility study is used to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the simplified model. The model is extended to treat discrete cash flows with continuous inflation rates.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Construction Management & Economics.

Volume (Year): 14 (1996)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 497-505
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Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:14:y:1996:i:6:p:497-505

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Related research
Keywords: Total Project Cost; Inflation Rates; Escalation; Interest; Future Value; Cash Flows;

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Thompson, P. A., 1976. "Prediction and control of cash flow for a construction project," Engineering and Process Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 265-271, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. de la Mare, R. F., 1979. "Modelling capital expenditure," Engineering and Process Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 467-477, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Cheng Lianyu & Robert Tiong, 2005. "Minimum feasible tariff model for BOT water supply projects in Malaysia," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 255-263, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Malik Ranasinghe, 1999. "Private sector participation in infrastructure projects: a methodology to analyse viability of BOT," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 613-623, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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