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A simple inflation indicator for the euro zone

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Author Info
Maria Arrazola
Jose de Hevia
Abstract

This article proposes and estimates an inflation indicator for the European Monetary Union (EMU). This indicator is set up so that it is contemporarily not affected by the changes in price differentials among EMU countries. The results show that the Monetary Union Index of Consumer Prices (MUICP), which is the inflation measure that the European Central Bank (ECB) takes as a reference for monetary policy purposes, could be understating the value of the inflation in the euro zone. It is also concluded that regional peculiarities are fundamental in the evolution of prices in the different EMU countries.

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File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840600959917&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 40 (2008)
Issue (Month): 18 ()
Pages: 2387-2394
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2387-2394

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  1. Bagliano, Fabio C & Golinelli, Roberto & Morana, Claudio, 2002. "Core Inflation in the Euro Area," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(6), pages 353-57, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Juan-Luis Vega & Mark A. Wynne, 2003. "A First Assessment of Some Measures of Core Inflation for the Euro Area," German Economic Review, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4, pages 269-306, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Riccardo Cristadoro & Mario Forni & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Veronese, 2001. "A core inflation index for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 435, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Ribba, Antonio, 2003. "Permanent-transitory decompositions and traditional measures of core inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 109-116, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Schwert, G. William, 1987. "Effects of model specification on tests for unit roots in macroeconomic data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 73-103, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Marques, Carlos Robalo & Neves, Pedro Duarte & da Silva, Afonso Goncalves, 2002. "Why should Central Banks avoid the use of the underlying inflation indicator?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 17-23, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Freeman, Donald G., 1998. "Do core inflation measures help forecast inflation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 143-147, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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