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The effectiveness of foreign exchange interventions under a floating exchange rate regime for the Turkish economy: a post-crisis period analysis

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Author Info
Özge Akinci
Olcay Yücel Çulha
Ümit Özlale
Gülbin Şahinbeyoğlu

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Abstract

The reported study has two purposes: first, it attempts to improve the literature on foreign exchange interventions of the central banks for the emerging market economies, an area not previously studied in detail. The Turkish economy in the post-crisis period constitutes a good example in this context. Second, it proposes a new methodology, a time-varying parameter model, to analyse the effectiveness of the foreign exchange interventions. When the results from such an exercise are compared with those obtained from an event-study analysis, it is found that purchase-based interventions seem to be successful, especially after stabilization of the financial markets. In that sense, an asymmetry is detected regarding the effectiveness of interventions. Concerning the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates, it is found that the uncovered interest rate parity condition operates in an unconventional way, supporting the views put forward by recent emerging markets literature.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 38 (2006)
Issue (Month): 12 (July)
Pages: 1371-1388
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1371-1388

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Paul R. Bergin, 2004. "How Well Can the New Open Economy Macroeconomics Explain the Exchange Rate and Current Account?," NBER Working Papers 10356, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Ana Maria Herrera & Pinar Ozbay, 2005. "A Dynamic Model of Central Bank Intervention," Working Papers 0501, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rasmus Fatum, 2000. "On the effectiveness of sterilized foreign exchange intervention," Working Paper Series 10, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ilker Domac & Alfonso Mendoza, 2002. "Is there Room for Forex Interventions under Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey," Discussion Papers 0206, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kim, S.J. & Kortian, T. & Sheen, J., 1999. "Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility- Australian Evidence," Papers 99-05, Sydney - Department of Economics.
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  6. Carlo A. Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil," NBER Working Papers 10390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Roberto Pereira Guimarães & Cem Karacadag, 2004. "The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets: The Cases of Mexico and Turkey," IMF Working Papers 04/123, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Olivier Blanchard, 2004. "Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Brazil," NBER Working Papers 10389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Zoe McLaren, 2002. "The Effectiveness Of Reserve Bank Of Australia Foreign Exchange Intervention," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 849, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  10. Michel Beine & Ariane Szafarz, 2003. "The Design of Effective Central Bank Interventions: The yen/dollar case," Working Papers CEB 03-008.RS, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB). [Downloadable!]
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  11. Lewis, Karen K, 1995. "Are Foreign Exchange Intervention and Monetary Policy Related, and Does It Really Matter?," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(2), pages 185-214, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Juann H. Hung, 1991. "Noise trading and the effectiveness of sterilized foreign exchange intervention," Research Paper 9111, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ozge Akinci & Olcay Yucel Culha & Umit Ozlale & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2005. "The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Interventions for the Turkish Economy : A Post-Crisis Period Analysis," Working Papers 0506, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
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