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Efficiency in the NFL betting market: modifying and consolidating research methods

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Author Info
William H. Dare
A. Steven Holland
Abstract

Modifying and consolidating previous research methods to generate more reliable estimates, some fairly weak evidence is found of inefficiency in the NFL betting market resulting from a bias favouring home underdog (against away favourite) teams. In contrast to previous research, no evidence is found that 'momentum strategies' generate significant returns in this market.

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 36 (2004)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 9-15
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:9-15

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  1. Russo, Benjamin & Gandar, John M. & Zuber, Richard A., 1989. "Market rationality tests based on cross-equation restrictions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 455-470, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gandar, John, et al, 1988. " Testing Rationality in the Point Spread Betting Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(4), pages 995-1008, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Gray, Philip K & Gray, Stephen F, 1997. " Testing Market Efficiency: Evidence from the NFL Sports Betting Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1725-37, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Golec, Joseph & Tamarkin, Maurry, 1991. "The degree of inefficiency in the football betting market : Statistical tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 311-323, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.

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