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Purchasing power parity in Brazil: a test for fractional cointegration

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  • Denisard Alves
  • Regina Celia Cati
  • Vera Lucia Fava

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to test the validity of the purchasing power parity (PPP) doctrine in Brazil. Historical data for the period 1855-1996 are considered. The period 1855-1990 is also analysed in order to compare the results with those obtained by Zini and Cati (1993) using the conventional cointegration analysis. This article uses fractional cointegration analysis, a flexible methodology which allows for more subtle forms of mean reversion. The tests performed are those of Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983), and of Hurvich and Ray (1995). The critical values for both tests are generated by simulation because they are non-standard. The empirical results do not support the absolute PPP hypothesis but the relative PPP holds in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Denisard Alves & Regina Celia Cati & Vera Lucia Fava, 2001. "Purchasing power parity in Brazil: a test for fractional cointegration," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(9), pages 1175-1185.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1175-1185
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840122819
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark Holmes, 2008. "Real Exchange Rate Stationarity in Latin America and Relative Purchasing Power Parity: A Regime Switching Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 261-275, April.
    2. Simões, Oscar R. & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2012. "Agregação temporal e não-linearidade afetam os testes da paridade do poder de compra: Evidência a partir de dados brasileiros," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(3), October.
    3. HOLMES, Mark J, 2008. "Non-Linear Trend Stationarity And Co-Trending In Latin American Real Exchange Rates," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(1), pages 107-118.
    4. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:preprint:id:654:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Mark J. Holmes, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Fractional Integration of the Real Exchange Rate: New Evidence for Less Developed Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 125-135, June.
    6. Burak Güriş & Muhammed Tiraşoğlu, 2018. "The Validity of Purchasing Power Parity in BRICS Countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(4), pages 417-426.
    7. Canepa Alessandra, 2022. "Small Sample Adjustment for Hypotheses Testing on Cointegrating Vectors," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 51-85, January.
    8. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:66:n:3:a:6 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2010. "Real Exchange Rates In Latin America: The Ppp Hypothesis And Fractional Integration," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 35(2), pages 1-21, June.
    10. Marcos José Dal Bianco, 2008. "Argentinean real exchange rate 1900-2006, test purchasing power parity theory," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 35(1 Year 20), pages 33-64, June.
    11. Dimitrios Sideris, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates over a Century: The Case of the Drachma/Sterling Rate, 1833-1939," Working Papers 66, Bank of Greece.
    12. Andre Varella Mollick & Margot Quijano, 2004. "The Mexican Peso And The Korean Won Real Exchange Rates: Evidence From Productivity Models," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 189-208, June.

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