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Unemployment and Growth: Some Empirical Evidence from Structural Time Series Models

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Muscatelli, V Anton
Tirelli, Patrizio

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Abstract

This study investigates the empirical relationship between unemployment and growth in a number of OECD economies. A structural time series model is used for labour productivity growth to demonstrate that, in most economies, there seems to be a negative correlation between unemployment and labour productivity growth. The results provide little support for the theory that recessions may stimulate productivity growth. The use of a structural time series approach allows an attempt to model the underlying dynamics of productivity growth jointly with the effect of unemployment. Copyright 2001 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 33 (2001)
Issue (Month): 8 (June)
Pages: 1083-88
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1083-88

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  1. Hiroaki Miyamoto & Yuya Takahashi, 2009. "Technological Progress, On-the-Job Search, and Unemployment," ISER Discussion Paper 0734, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Campbell leith & Chol-Won Li, 2001. "Unemployment and the Productivity Slowdown: A Labour Supply Perspective," Working Papers 2001_13, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés & Tselios, Vassilis, 2008. "Inequalities in Income and Education and Regional Economic Growth in Western Europe," Papers DYNREG34, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  4. Patrick Wilson & Simon Stevenson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2007. "Foreign Property Shocks and the Impact on Domestic Securitized Real Estate Markets: An Unobserved Components Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 407-424, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Sven Schreiber, 2009. "Explaining shifts in the unemployment rate with productivity slowdowns and accelerations: a co-breaking approach," Kiel Working Papers 1505, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
  6. V A Muscatelli., 1995. "Flexibility, Structural Change and the Global Economy," Working Papers 9601, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Jan 1996. [Downloadable!]
  7. Thomas B. King, 2005. "Labor productivity and job-market flows: trends, cycles, and correlations," Supervisory Policy Analysis Working Papers 2005-04, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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