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How to Deal with Intercept and Trend in Practical Cointegration Analysis?

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Franses, Philip Hans

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Abstract

This note gives a few practical guidelines for cointegration analysis. The focus is on testing the cointegration rank in a VAR model and on how an intercept and a trend should be incorporated in the testing model. Only two cases appear relevant for most economic data. Copyright 2001 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 33 (2001)
Issue (Month): 5 (April)
Pages: 577-79
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:577-79

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  1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Søren Johansen, 1994. "The role of the constant and linear terms in cointegration analysis of nonstationary variables," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 205-229. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Nielsen, Bent & Rahbek, Anders, 2000. " Similarity Issues in Cointegration Analysis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 62(1), pages 5-22, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Doornik, Jurgen A & Hendry, David F & Nielsen, Bent, 1998. " Inference in Cointegrating Models: UK M1 Revisited," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(5), pages 533-72, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Johann Burgstaller, 2002. "Are stock returns a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments?," Economics working papers 2002-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria. [Downloadable!]
  2. A. Espasa & P: Poncela & E. Senra, 2002. "Forecasting Monthly Us Consumer Price Indexes Through A Disaggregated I(2) Analysis," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws020301, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  3. Kaili Shen & David E. Giles, 2006. "Rational exuberance at the mall: addiction to carrying a credit card balance," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 587-592, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Chad Stroomer & David E.A. Giles, 2003. "Income Convergence and trade Openness: Fuzzy Clustering and Time Series Evidence," Econometrics Working Papers 0304, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  5. Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 2," Econometrics Working Papers 0002, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  6. David E. A. Giles, 2001. "Output Convergence and International Trade: Time-Series and Fuzzy Clustering Evidence for New Zealand and Her Trading Partners, 1950-1992," Econometrics Working Papers 0102, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Ruud H. Koning, 2004. "FinMetrics: analysis of financial data in S-PLUS," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 283-290. [Downloadable!]
  8. Judith A. Giles, Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 445-470, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Roselyne Joyeux, 2001. "How to Deal with Structural Breaks in Practical Cointegration Analysis," Research Papers 0112, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Binner, Jane & Elger, Thomas, 2002. "The UK Personal Sector Demand for Risky Money," Working Papers 2002:9, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  11. Dekimpe, M.G. & Hanssens, D.M., 2003. "Persistence Modeling for Assessing Marketing Strategy Performance," Research Paper ERS-2003-088-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
  12. Kenneth G. Stewart & Michael C. Webb, 2003. "Capital Taxation, Globalization, and International Tax Competition," Econometrics Working Papers 0301, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  13. Chantal Hartog, 2008. "The two-way relationship between entrepreneurship and economic performance," Scales Research Reports H200822, EIM Business and Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
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