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Forecasting in a Large Macroeconomic System

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Author Info
Cutler, Harvey
Davies, Stephen
Schmidt, Martin B

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Abstract

This paper examines the efficiency gains yielded from estimating multiple equation cointegrated systems as compared to their single equation counterparts. In particular, this paper is concerned with the ability of utilizing the cointegrating information to improve forecasting performance. Recently an inability to improve forecasts of real income once money demand error correction terms were introduced has been used to argue that the M2 relationship had broken down during the early 1990s. However, the results suggest that once the underlying responses of variables are more closely investigated, the behaviour of M2 has remained stable. Copyright 2000 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 32 (2000)
Issue (Month): 13 (October)
Pages: 1711-18
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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1711-18

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  1. Amir Kia, 2006. "Economic policies and demand for money: evidence from Canada," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 1389-1407, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Martin B. Schmidt, 2003. "Money and prices: evidence from the G7 countries," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(17), pages 1799-1809, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.

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