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Demand for money in Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period: a cointegration and error correction analysis

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  • Ananda Weliwita
  • E. M. Ekanayake

Abstract

This paper investigates the long-run demand for money and short-run dynamics of the long-run money demand function for Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period. While M1 is cointegrated with real income, nominal interest rate, short-term foreign interest rate, and real effective exchange rate, M2 is not. This suggests that monetary authorities should emphasize the narrow definition of money for monetary control. The one year fixed deposits rate is cointegrated with M1, indicating the opportunity cost of holding money. Although the inflation rate is not cointegrated with M1, it seems to be an important determinant of the demand for M1 in the short-run. Results also suggest that the short-term foreign interest rate and the exchange rate can have important implications for the effectiveness of monetary policy. Monetary authorities must consider the response of domestic money demand to these external factors when formulating future monetary policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ananda Weliwita & E. M. Ekanayake, 1998. "Demand for money in Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period: a cointegration and error correction analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(9), pages 1219-1229.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1219-1229
    DOI: 10.1080/000368498325101
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    2. Manamba EPAPHRA, 2017. "An Econometric Analysis of Demand for Money and its Stability in Tanzania," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-192, June.
    3. Christopher Adam & Michael Goujon & Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney, 2004. "The transactions demand for money in the presence of currency substitution: evidence from Vietnam," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(13), pages 1461-1470.
    4. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2013. "Does J-curve phenomenon exist in case of Laos? An ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 833-839.
    5. Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2015. "The Evolution of Central Banking and Monetary Policy in the Asia-Pacific," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14611.
    6. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2002. "The demand for money in korea: Evidence from the cointegration test," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 8(3), pages 188-195, August.
    7. Wasanthi Thenuwara & Bryan Morgan, 2017. "Monetary targeting in Sri Lanka: how much control does the central bank have over the money supply?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 276-296, April.
    8. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2010. "Modelling money demand for a panel of eight transitional economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(25), pages 3293-3305.
    9. Ananda Weliwita & Hiroshi Tsujii, 2000. "The Exchange Rate and Sri Lanka¡¯s Trade Deficit," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 25(2), pages 131-153, December.
    10. Michaël GOUJON & Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY & Christopher ADAM, 2003. "Currency substitution and the transactions demand for money," Working Papers 200304, CERDI.
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2014. "Short- and long-run relationships between natural gas consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 219-226.
    12. P K Narayan & S Narayan, 2008. "Estimating the Demand for Money in an Unstable Open Economy: The Case of the Fiji Islands," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 13(1), pages 71-91, March.

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