Middle Eastern stock markets: absolute, evolving and relative efficiency
AbstractThe martingale hypothesis is tested for 11 Middle Eastern stock markets using three finite sample variance ratio tests. For comparative purposes, the same tests are applied to data obtained for the US. The tests are carried out with both observed returns and returns corrected for thin trading, so the effect of the thin trading correction is evident. A rolling window is used to track the changes in efficiency through time and rank markets by the relative efficiency. Overall, most markets experience successive periods of efficiency and inefficiency, which is consistent with the adaptive markets hypothesis. Predictability varies widely: the least predictable stock markets are those located in Turkey, Egypt and Israel; the most predictable are in Jordan, Lebanon and Saudi Arabia. When returns are corrected for thin trading, there is much less variation in relative efficiency.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.
Volume (Year): 23 (2013)
Issue (Month): 3 (February)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/routledge/09603107.html
You can help add them by filling out this form.
reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Michael McNulty).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.