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The euro introduction and noneuro currencies

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  • Dick van Dijk
  • Haris Munandar
  • Christian Hafner

Abstract

This article documents the existence of large structural breaks in the unconditional correlations among the US dollar exchange rates of the British pound, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, Swiss franc and euro during the period 1994 to 2003. Using the framework of Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) models, we find that such breaks occurred both at the time the formal decision to proceed with the euro was made in December 1996 and at the time of the actual introduction of the euro in January 1999. Most correlations were substantially lower during the intervening period. We also find breaks in unconditional volatilities at the same points in time, but these are comparatively of a much smaller magnitude.

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File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603107.2011.523197
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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 21 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1-2 ()
Pages: 95-116

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:21:y:2011:i:1-2:p:95-116

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Gaetano D’Adamo, 2011. "Estimating Central Bank preferences in a small open economy: Sweden 1995-2009," Working Papers 1111, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  2. Christos S. Savva & Denise R. Osborn & Len Gill, 2005. "Spillovers and Correlations between US and Major European Stock Markets: The Role of the Euro," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0541, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  3. Lean, Hooi Hooi & Teng, Kee Tuan, 2013. "Integration of world leaders and emerging powers into the Malaysian stock market: A DCC-MGARCH approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 333-342.
  4. Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk & Michel van der Wel, 2013. "Predicting Covariance Matrices with Financial Conditions Indexes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  5. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Dungey, Mardi & Savva, Christos S., 2008. "Progress Towards to Equity Market Integration in Eastern Europe," Working Papers 2072/13265, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
  6. Nektarios Aslanidis & Christos S. Savva, 2011. "Are There Still Portfolio Diversification Benefits In Eastern Europe? Aggregate Versus Sectoral Stock Market Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(6), pages 1323-1352, December.
  7. Gaetano, D'Adamo, 2009. "Measuring exchange rate flexibility in Europe," MPRA Paper 26612, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Christos S. Savva & Denise R. Osborn & Len Gill, 2006. "Periodic Dynamic Conditional Correlations between Stock Markets in Europe and the US," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0629, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  9. Brière, Marie & Signori, Ombretta, 2009. "Do Inflation-Linked Bonds Still Diversify ?," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/7741, Paris Dauphine University.
  10. Christos Savva & Denise R Osborn & Len Gill, 2005. "Volatility, spillover Effects and Correlations in US and Major European Markets," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 23, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  11. Kühl, Michael, 2009. "Excess comovements between the Euro/US dollar and British pound/US dollar exchange rates," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 89, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.

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