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Highs and lows: a behavioural and technical analysis

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Author Info
Bruce Mizrach
Susan Weerts

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Abstract

We find that turnover rises on n-day highs and lows and is an increasing function of n. We offer several explanations from the technical and behavioural finance literature for why traders might use these signals. Turnover is persistent following these events, and new lows provide abnormal returns for up to 6 trading days. 'Technical analysis is about as useful as going to a fortuneteller, as far as I'm concerned. There is simply no evidence that these patterns mean anything…'1 (Burton Malkiel, 2003).

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 19 (2009)
Issue (Month): 10 ()
Pages: 767-777
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:19:y:2009:i:10:p:767-777

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  1. Ferris, Stephen P & Haugen, Robert A & Makhija, Anil K, 1988. " Predicting Contemporary Volume with Historic Volume at Differential Price Levels: Evidence Supporting the Disposition Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(3), pages 677-97, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Meir Statman & Steven Thorley & Keith Vorkink, 2006. "Investor Overconfidence and Trading Volume," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 1531-1565. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmidt, Ulrich, 2005. "The Use of Trading Strategies by Fund Managers: Some First Survey Evidence," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-314, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Chip Heath & Steven Huddart & Mark Lang, 1999. "Psychological Factors And Stock Option Exercise," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 114(2), pages 601-627, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Dan Ariely & George Loewenstein & Drazen Prelec, 2003. ""Coherent Arbitrariness": Stable Demand Curves Without Stable Preferences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 118(1), pages 73-105, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Barberis, Nicholas & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert, 1998. "A model of investor sentiment1," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 307-343, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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