Are there threshold effects in the stock price-dividend relation? The case of the US stock market, 1871-2004
AbstractWe use recent developments on threshold autoregressive models that allow deriving endogenously threshold effects to analyse the evolution of the US stock price-dividend relation over the period 1871 to 2004. More specifically, a mean-reverting dynamic behaviour of the stock price-dividend ratio should be expected once such threshold is reached. Our empirical results showed that significant adjustments would occur when, in a particular year, the stock price-dividend ratio had shown a decrease of more than 8.0% between the previous year and the fourth year before, which implies nonlinearities in the dynamic behaviour of the US stock price-dividend relation.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.
Volume (Year): 18 (2008)
Issue (Month): 19 ()
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Web page: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAFE20
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- Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013.
"The present value model of US stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010,"
04/13, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
- Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010," Working Papers 1305, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
- Vicente Esteve & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & María A. Prats, 2013. "The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited: long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2010," Working Papers 13-04, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
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