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Empirical evidence on feedback trading in mature and emerging stock markets

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Author Info
Martin Bohl
Pierre Siklos

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Abstract

We investigate the hypothesis that some participants in mature and emerging stock markets engage in feedback trading. The analysis is based on the Shiller-Sentana-Wadhwani model, which has the attractive property that it yields testable implications about the presence of positive and negative feedback traders in stock markets. In addition, the Shiller-Sentana-Wadhwani model is particularly well-suited to investigate whether momentum type behaviour might be present during periods of large stock market downturns. This theoretical framework, together with asymmetric GARCH-type models, allows us to draw conclusions whether differences exist between mature and emerging stock markets in terms of the degree of feedback trading as well as the behaviour of traders during stock market crashes.

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File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/09603100701704280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 18 (2008)
Issue (Month): 17 ()
Pages: 1379-1389
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:18:y:2008:i:17:p:1379-1389

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  1. Schwert, G William, 1989. " Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change over Time?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(5), pages 1115-53, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. De Long, J Bradford, et al, 1990. " Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 379-95, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Sentana, Enrique & Wadhwani, Sushil B, 1992. "Feedback Traders and Stock Return Autocorrelations: Evidence from a Century of Daily Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(411), pages 415-25, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Zhuanxin Ding & Clive Granger & Robert Engle, 1992. "A Long Memory Property of Stock Market Returns and a New Model," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 92-21, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
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  5. Whitney K. Newey & Douglas G. Steigerwald, 1997. "Asymptotic Bias for Quasi-Maximum-Likelihood Estimators in Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(3), pages 587-600, May.
  6. Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993. "On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks," Staff Report 157, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Brooks, Robert D. & Faff, Robert W. & McKenzie, Michael D. & Mitchell, Heather, 2000. "A multi-country study of power ARCH models and national stock market returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 377-397, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Campbell, John Y & Grossman, Sanford J & Wang, Jiang, 1993. "Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(4), pages 905-39, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. LeBaron, Blake, 1992. "Some Relations between Volatility and Serial Correlations in Stock Market Returns," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(2), pages 199-219, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Koutmos, Gregory & Saidi, Reza, 2001. "Positive Feedback Trading in Emerging Capital Markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 291-97, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. repec:att:wimass:19902 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Robert J. Shiller, 1984. "Stock Prices and Social Dynamics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 719R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  13. Lo, Andrew W. & Craig MacKinlay, A., 1990. "An econometric analysis of nonsynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 181-211. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
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  1. Giulio Cifarelli & Giovanna Paladino, 2008. "Oil price Dynamics and Speculation. A Multivariate Financial Approach," Working Papers Series wp2008_15.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche. [Downloadable!]
  2. Chayawadee Chai-Anant & Corinna Ho, 2008. "Understanding Asian equity flows, market returns and exchange rates," BIS Working Papers 245, Bank for International Settlements. [Downloadable!]
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