The impact of rational and irrational sentiments of individual and institutional investors on DJIA and S&P500 index returns
AbstractWe examine the relative effects of rational and irrational investor sentiments on Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P500 returns. The impact of rational sentiments on stock market returns is found to be greater than that of irrational sentiments. There are immediate positive responses of stock market returns to irrational sentiments corrected by negative responses in the upcoming periods. There are positive effects of past stock market returns on irrational sentiments but not on rational sentiments. The results support the economic fundamentals-based arguments of stock returns. Evidence in favour of irrational sentiments is consistent with the view that investor error is a significant determinant of stock returns.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.
Volume (Year): 18 (2008)
Issue (Month): 16 ()
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Web page: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/routledge/09603107.html
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- Thomas Lux, 2008. "Sentiment Dynamics and Stock Returns: The Case of the German Stock Market," Kiel Working Papers 1470, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Thomas Lux, 2011. "Sentiment dynamics and stock returns: the case of the German stock market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 663-679, December.
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