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Equity returns of financial institutions and the pricing of interest rate risk

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  • Sotiris Staikouras

Abstract

This study investigates the issue of whether financial intermediaries' common stock returns incorporate a risk premium for their inherent exposure to unexpected changes in interest rates. A wide range of financial institutions is employed to test the hypothesis that the interest rate risk is priced by capital markets. In addition, the above sample is extended by incorporating firms from the non-financial sector. A two-factor model with the market portfolio and the changes in market yields, as exogenously specified risk variables, is employed. The model is estimated via a seemingly unrelated regression estimation (SURE) framework with both cross-equation restrictions and within equation nonlinear constraints on the parameters. The findings indicate that financial institutions' equity returns incorporate a risk premium for their exposure to market yields' surprises. The return generating function of the insurance business could be further explained by an additional factor such as currency movements. It is also empirically supported that the market premium drops out from the estimation process. When commercial and industrial firms are included in the estimation process, the findings unveil a reduction in the magnitude of the interest rate risk premium.

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File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100500039557
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 15 (2005)
Issue (Month): 7 ()
Pages: 499-508

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:15:y:2005:i:7:p:499-508

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References

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  1. Stambaugh, Robert F., 1982. "On the exclusion of assets from tests of the two-parameter model : A sensitivity analysis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 237-268, November.
  2. Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1980. " An Empirical Investigation of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(5), pages 1073-1103, December.
  3. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July.
  4. Bae, Sung C, 1990. "Interest Rate Changes and Common Stock Returns of Financial Institutions: Revisited," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association & Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 13(1), pages 71-79, Spring.
  5. Sweeney, Richard J & Warga, Arthur D, 1986. " The Pricing of Interest-Rate Risk: Evidence from the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(2), pages 393-410, June.
  6. Gibbons, Michael R., 1982. "Multivariate tests of financial models : A new approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 3-27, March.
  7. Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 341-360, December.
  8. Trzcinka, Charles A, 1986. " On the Number of Factors in the Arbitrage Pricing Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(2), pages 347-68, June.
  9. Merton, Robert C, 1973. "An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(5), pages 867-87, September.
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Cited by:
  1. M. Kabir Hassan & William J. Hippler III, 2013. "The Pronounced Impact of Macroeconomic Stress on the Financial Sector: Implications for Real Sector Growth," NFI Working Papers 2013-WP-01, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute.
  2. Rajeev K. Goel, 2006. "Insurance intermediaries and contractual relations," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 211-215, July.

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