Dynamic volume-return relationship: evidence from an emerging capital market
AbstractThe relationship between the changes in trading volume and subsequent returns for stocks traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) is tested. High volume stocks are found to experience strong price reversals and low volume stocks to experience weak price reversals and even continuations. Focusing on longer portfolio selection periods does not strengthen these results, and focusing on extreme change in past trading volume and past returns does so only for some high volume portfolios. The sign of volume changes is more informative than the magnitude. The results can be interpreted as evidence of the prevalence of uninformed traders on the WSE.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.
Volume (Year): 15 (2005)
Issue (Month): 14 ()
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Web page: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/routledge/09603107.html
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- Blume, Lawrence & Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 1994. " Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 153-81, March.
- Guillermo Llorente & Roni Michaely & Gideon Saar & Jiang Wang, 2002.
"Dynamic Volume-Return Relation of Individual Stocks,"
Review of Financial Studies,
Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1005-1047.
- Guillermo Llorente & Roni Michaely & Gideon Saar & Jiang Wang, 2001. "Dynamic Volume-Return Relation of Individual Stocks," NBER Working Papers 8312, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alsubaie, Abdullah & Najand, Mohammad, 2009. "Abnormal trading volume and autoregressive behavior in weekly stock returns in the Saudi stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 207-225, September.
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