Housing and pension wealth are shown to be important determinants of personal sector consumption and retirement behaviour in the UK. Housing and state pension wealth have a positive effect on consumption, while private pension wealth promotes greater savings. Greater private defined benefit pension wealth encourages earlier retirement, while greater defined contribution pension wealth has the effect of delaying retirement. State pension wealth appears to have no effect on the retirement decision. Other variables relating to income, labour market and demographic status and spillovers from other sectors are also shown to be important. The consumption equation forecasts the late 1980s boom and the early 1990s slump in the UK better than other models that disregard housing and pension wealth. A particularly important cause of the boom was the huge private pension fund surpluses that accrued as a result of the stock market boom of the 1980s.
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Gale, W.G. & scholz, J.K., 1992.
"IRAS and Household Saving,"
Papers
9244, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
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Ravi Jagannathan & Zhenyu Wang, 1993.
"The CAPM is alive and well,"
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165, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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