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Estimating smooth transition autoregressive models with GARCH errors in the presence of extreme observations and outliers

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Author Info
Felix Chan
Michael McAleer

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Abstract

The paper investigates several empirical issues regarding quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) models with GARCH errors (STAR-GARCH) and STAR models with smooth transition GARCH errors (STAR-STGARCH). Empirical evidence is provided to show that different algorithms produce substantially different estimates for the same model. Consequently, the interpretation of the model can differ according to the choice of algorithm. Convergence, the choice of different algorithms for maximizing the likelihood function, and the sensitivity of the estimates to outliers and extreme observations, are examined using daily data for S&P 500, Hang Seng and Nikkei 225 for the period January 1986 to April 2000.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 13 (2003)
Issue (Month): 8 (January)
Pages: 581-592
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:13:y:2003:i:8:p:581-592

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  1. Giorgio Busetti & Matteo Manera, 2003. "STAR-GARCH Models for Stock Market Interactions in the Pacific Basin Region, Japan and US," Working Papers 2003.43, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. [Downloadable!]
  2. Philippe J. Deschamps, 2008. "Comparing smooth transition and Markov switching autoregressive models of US unemployment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 435-462. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Felix Chan & Dora Marinova & Michael McAleer, 2003. "Modelling the Asymmetric Volatility of Electronics Patents in the USA," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-208, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.


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