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Modelling Volatility and Testing for Efficiency in Emerging Capital Markets: The Case of the Athens Stock Exchange

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Author Info
Siourounis, Gregorios D

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Abstract

This study employs GARCH type models and tests for their validity over an Emerging Capital Market, the Athens Stock Exchange Market (ASE). Correct specification, of the different models, implies that the Weak Efficient Market Hypothesis does not hold for ASE. There is strong empirical evidence that ASE follows a pattern where last period's daily returns are correlated with today's returns and current volatility is positively related to past realizations. Negative shocks have an asymmetric impact on the daily stock returns series and political instabilities increase volatility over time. The mean of the series does not change during high volatile periods. Copyright 2002 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 12 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 47-55
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:12:y:2002:i:1:p:47-55

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  1. Thierry Ané, 2006. "Short and long term components of volatility in Hong Kong stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 439-460, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Dimitrios Thomakos & Michail Koubouros, 2008. "The Role of Realized Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange," Working Papers 0020, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Caiado, Jorge, 2004. "Modelling and forecasting the volatility of the portuguese stock index PSI-20," MPRA Paper 2077, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Theodore Panagiotidis, 2005. "Market capitalization and efficiency. Does it matter? Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 707-713, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. David Chappell & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2005. "Using the correlation dimension to detect non-linear dynamics: Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange," Econometrics 0504005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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