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Purchasing Power Parity, Nonlinearity and Chaos

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Serletis, Apostolos
Gogas, Periklis

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Abstract

This study contrasts the (apparent) random walk behaviour of the real exchange rate to chaotic dynamics, using (US) dollar-based real exchange rates for 17 OECD countries (covering the period 1957:1-1995:4). Tests for deterministic noisy chaos are carried out using the Nychka, Ellner, Gallant and McCaffrey (1992) test for positivity of the maximum Lyapunov exponent. There is evidence of nonlinear chaotic dynamics in seven real exchange rate series, suggesting that real exchange rate movements might not be really random. Copyright 2000 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 10 (2000)
Issue (Month): 6 (December)
Pages: 615-22
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:10:y:2000:i:6:p:615-22

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  1. Ahmed Asseery, 2005. "Evidence of non-linearities in the bilateral real exchange rates of the British pound," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 63-90, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Philip Shively, 2003. "Threshold stationary real exchange rates: a nonlinear, multivariate approach," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(2), pages 1-11. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ata Assaf, 2004. "Rescaled variance analysis of real exchange rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 303-306, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mark J.Holmes, 2002. "Are there non linearities in US: Latin American real exchange behavior," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(2 Year 20), pages 177-190, December. [Downloadable!]
  5. Shu-Chen Chang, 2008. "Asymmetric cointegration relationship among Asian exchange rates," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 125-141, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Mark Holmes & Ping Wang, 2006. "Asymmetric adjustment towards long-run PPP: Some new evidence for Asian economies," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 161-177, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Tsangyao Chang & Hsu-Ling Chang & Hsiao-Ping Chu & Chi-Wei Su, 2006. "Does PPP hold in African countries? Further evidence based on a highly dynamic non-linear (logistic) unit root test," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(20), pages 2453-2459, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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