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Implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy in a simple Euro area model

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  • Herve Le Bihan
  • Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

Abstract

The 'Brainard conservatism principle' states that the optimal monetary policy rule should be less aggressive when uncertainty about parameters is taken into account. However, this principle is not fully general and may be reversed in some cases. This paper examines the implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy using a simple empirical model of the Euro area. The Brainard principle is found to be empirically relevant.

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  • Herve Le Bihan & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2002. "Implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy in a simple Euro area model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(9), pages 553-556.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:553-556
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108067
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    1. Orphanides, Athanasios & Wieland, Volker, 2000. "Inflation zone targeting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1351-1387, June.
    2. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1997. "Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1111-1146, June.
    3. Svensson, Lars E. O., 2000. "Open-economy inflation targeting," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 155-183, February.
    4. Fagan, Gabriel & Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo, 2001. "An area-wide model (AWM) for the euro area," Working Paper Series 42, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Olga Kuznetsova, 2012. "Robust Monetary Policy in a Currency Union," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(2), pages 185-199, May.

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