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Is the term structure nonlinear? A semiparametric investigation

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  • Lance Bachmeier
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    Abstract

    A semiparametric error correction model (ECM) is estimated using US term structure data. We use 5 and 10 year interest rates to predict short-term (1 month to 12 month) interest rates. It is found that the semiparametric ECM model predicts better than the popular linear ECM. These results provide further evidence of nonlinearity in the term structure.

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    File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

    Volume (Year): 9 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 151-153

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:151-153

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    Cited by:
    1. Qi Li & Jeffrey Scott Racine, 2006. "Nonparametric Econometrics: Theory and Practice," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8355.
    2. Patrick Saart & Jiti Gao, 2012. "Semiparametric Methods in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    3. Liew, Venus Khim-Sen & Qiao, Zhuo & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2008. "Linearity and stationarity of G7 government bond returns," MPRA Paper 24836, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Sep 2010.

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