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The (In)Existence of a Unit Root in Brazilian Gross Domestic Product

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Author Info
Aguirre, Antonio
Ferreira, Afonso Henriques Borges

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Abstract

This paper challenges the currently accepted view that the Brazilian GDP series is I(1). The known results of the augmented Dickey-Fuller test not rejecting the null of existence of a unit root--and the rejection of the null of stationarity obtained using an alternative test--are credited to the existence of an important structural break in the series which neither of those tests account for. A testing procedure is used here which takes into account one trend break with an endogenously determined date, and gives results which overturn the now prevailing diagnostic. Copyright 2001 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 8 (2001)
Issue (Month): 10 (October)
Pages: 645-47
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:645-47

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  1. Gilberto A. Libanio, 2004. "Unit roots in macroeconomic time series: theory, implications, and evidence," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td228, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Ana Luísa G. Abras & Bráulio L Borges & Rodrigo M. Sekkel, 2004. "Breaking trend, Lagrange multiplier test statistic and the presence of a unit root in the Brazilian gross domestic product," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 361-364, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Paresh Narayan, 2008. "Is Asian per capita GDP panel stationary?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 439-449, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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