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Exports and economic growth: evidence from cross-country analysis

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  • Nadeem Burney

Abstract

This paper analyses the relationship between exports growth and economic growth by estimating an augmented GDP-growth equation on the basis of cross-country data, and using OLS and random coefficient (RC) methods. The latter method yields both mean response coefficients, as in the case of OLS method, as well as country-specific coefficients. The relationship has been estimated for two separate periods, i.e. 1965-80 and 1980-90. The estimates obtained using a RC method indicates that while there exists a positive link between exports and economic growth, the relationship is significant only for the period 1980-90. This suggests that the results obtained in the earlier studies using OLS method could be spurious. The evidence further indicates that the change in the coefficients between the two periods consists of both structural as well as behavioural shifts. Finally, the estimated country-specific coefficients show that the role of exports in GDP growth vary with the level of development.

Suggested Citation

  • Nadeem Burney, 1996. "Exports and economic growth: evidence from cross-country analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 369-373.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:369-373
    DOI: 10.1080/135048596356258
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    Cited by:

    1. Mucahit Aydin & Murat Sari, 2014. "Relationship Between Gdp And Export In Turkey," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0, pages 282-288, May.
    2. Ambreen FATEMAH & Abdul QAYYUM, 2018. "Modeling the impact of exports on the economic growth of Pakistan," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 56-64, March.
    3. Jordan Shan & Fiona Sun, 1998. "On the export-led growth hypothesis for the little dragons: An empirical reinvestigation," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(4), pages 353-371, December.
    4. Logan Rangasamy, 2009. "Exports and economic growth: The case of South Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(5), pages 603-617.
    5. Harrison, Ann E. & Rodriguez-Clare, Andres, 2009. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy," MPRA Paper 15561, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Fadzil, Atikah & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does export lead growth? evidence from Japan," MPRA Paper 109290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Yir-Hueih Luh & Kuo-Chen Shih, 2006. "International spillovers and East Asian growth: the experience of Japan, Korea and Taiwan," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(11), pages 745-750.
    8. Harrison, Ann & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2010. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Dani Rodrik & Mark Rosenzweig (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 4039-4214, Elsevier.
    9. Arteaga, Julio César & Cardozo, Mónica Liseth & Diniz, Márcia Jucá T., 2020. "Exports to China and economic growth in Latin America, unequal effects within the region," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-17.
    10. Luh, Yir-Hueih & Jiang, Wun-Ji & Huang, Szu-Chi, 2016. "Trade-related spillovers and industrial competitiveness: Exploring the linkages for OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 309-325.
    11. Joshua J. Lewer & Hendrik Van den Berg, 2003. "How Large Is International Trade’s Effect on Economic Growth?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 363-396, July.
    12. Asmawi Hashim & Norimah Rambeli & Norasibah Abdul Jalil & Normala Zulkifli & Emilda Hashim & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim, 2019. "Does Export Led Growth Hypothesis Hold Under World Crisis Recovery Regime in Malaysia?," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 9-19, December.
    13. Azmat Gani & Michael D. Clemes, 2010. "Services and economic growth in Pacific Island countries," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(2), pages 113-130, July.

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