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The dynamic impact of bilateral trade linkages on stock market correlations of Australia and China

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  • Sudharshan Reddy Paramati
  • Abdulrasheed Zakari
  • Mallaiah Jalle
  • Seenaiah Kale
  • Prasad Begari

Abstract

This article aims to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship between bilateral trade linkages and stock market correlations of Australia and China using quarterly data from 1993 to 2015. Further, this study explores the impact of trade intensity on stock market correlations using OLS, Dynamic OLS (DOLS) and Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) models. The empirical results confirm that there is a significant long-run relationship among the variables. In addition, our results, based on OLS, DOLS and FMOLS, show that increasing trade intensity between Australia and China has a significant and positive impact on their stock market correlations. The Global Financial Crisis also contributed for their stock market interdependence. Our results therefore suggest that the bilateral trade relations between Australia and China have brought their stock markets together over time. The findings of this study offer significant policy and practical implications. The policymakers need to be aware of the economic changes in those countries as they will immediately reflect on their stock market performance and relationship. Similarly, the global investors need to be aware of the fact that the diversification opportunities between Australia and China have considerably declined over time as their markets became more interdependent in the recent past.

Suggested Citation

  • Sudharshan Reddy Paramati & Abdulrasheed Zakari & Mallaiah Jalle & Seenaiah Kale & Prasad Begari, 2018. "The dynamic impact of bilateral trade linkages on stock market correlations of Australia and China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 141-145, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:3:p:141-145
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1305067
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    Cited by:

    1. Vo, Dinh-Tri, 2021. "Dependency on FDI inflows and stock market linkages," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    2. Burdekin, Richard C. K & Tao, Ran, 2021. "From Shanghai to Sydney: Chinese stock market influences on Australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Song, Yuegang & Huang, Ruixian & Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy & Zakari, Abdulrasheed, 2021. "Does economic integration lead to financial market integration in the Asian region?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 366-377.
    4. Chen, Yufeng & Li, Wenqi & Qu, Fang, 2019. "Dynamic asymmetric spillovers and volatility interdependence on China’s stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 825-838.
    5. Ahmed Shafique Joyo & Lin Lefen, 2019. "Stock Market Integration of Pakistan with Its Trading Partners: A Multivariate DCC-GARCH Model Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-23, January.

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