IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/apeclt/v18y2011i5p411-415.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Re-examining long-run purchasing power parity for Central and Eastern European countries: nonlinear panel unit root tests

Author

Listed:
  • Hsu-Ling Chang
  • Chi-Wei Su
  • Meng-Nan Zhu
  • Pei Liu

Abstract

This study applies nonlinear panel unit root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for seven Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC). We find that nonlinear panel unit root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Breuer et al. (2001) if the true data-generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We re-examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the panel nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for five countries, namely, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Russia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsu-Ling Chang & Chi-Wei Su & Meng-Nan Zhu & Pei Liu, 2011. "Re-examining long-run purchasing power parity for Central and Eastern European countries: nonlinear panel unit root tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 411-415.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:411-415
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724218
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724218&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/13504851003724218?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James R. Lothian & Mark P. Taylor, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates Over the Past Two Centuries: How Important is the Harrod‐Balassa‐Samuelson Effect?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(532), pages 1742-1763, October.
    2. Kapetanios, George & Shin, Yongcheol & Snell, Andy, 2003. "Testing for a unit root in the nonlinear STAR framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 359-379, February.
    3. Sarno, Lucio, 2000. "Real exchange rate behavior in the Middle East: a re-examination," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 127-136, February.
    4. Taylor, Mark P & Peel, David A & Sarno, Lucio, 2001. "Nonlinear Mean-Reversion in Real Exchange Rates: Toward a Solution to the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzles," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1015-1042, November.
    5. Reitz, Stefan & Taylor, Mark P., 2008. "The coordination channel of foreign exchange intervention: A nonlinear microstructural analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 55-76, January.
    6. Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P., 2003. "Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 85-107, May.
    7. Timothy K. Chue & In Choi, 2007. "Subsampling hypothesis tests for nonstationary panels with applications to exchange rates and stock prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 233-264.
    8. Wu, Jyh-Lin & Lee, Hsiu-Yun, 2009. "A revisit to the non-linear mean reversion of real exchange rates: Evidence from a series-specific non-linear panel unit-root test," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 591-601, December.
    9. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    10. Sarno,Lucio & Taylor,Mark P., 2003. "The Economics of Exchange Rates," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521485845.
    11. Alan M. Taylor & Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "The Purchasing Power Parity Debate," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 135-158, Fall.
    12. Maddala, G S & Wu, Shaowen, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(0), pages 631-652, Special I.
    13. Lukas Menkhoff & Mark P. Taylor, 2007. "The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals: Technical Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 936-972, December.
    14. Taylor, Mark P. & Sarno, Lucio, 1998. "The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-312, December.
    15. Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 71, pages 1-11, February.
    16. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 265-312.
    17. Janice Boucher Breuer & Robert McNown & Myles S. Wallace, 2001. "Misleading Inferences from Panel Unit‐Root Tests with an Illustration from Purchasing Power Parity," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 482-493, August.
    18. Taylor, Alan M, 2001. "Potential Pitfalls for the Purchasing-Power-Parity Puzzle? Sampling and Specification Biases in Mean-Reversion Tests of the Law of One Price," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(2), pages 473-498, March.
    19. Breuer, Janice Boucher & McNown, Robert & Wallace, Myles S, 2001. "Misleading Inferences from Panel Unit-Root Tests with an Illustration from Purchasing Power Parity," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 482-493, August.
    20. Alan M. Taylor & Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "The Purchasing Power Parity Debate," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 135-158, Fall.
    21. Taylor, Mark P. & Peel, David A., 2000. "Nonlinear adjustment, long-run equilibrium and exchange rate fundamentals," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 33-53, February.
    22. G. S. Maddala & Shaowen Wu, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(S1), pages 631-652, November.
    23. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Oguz OCAL, 2013. "Purchasing Power Parity in the Case of Romania: Evidence from Structural Breaks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 973-976.
    2. Habimana, Olivier, 2016. "Asymmetric nonlinear mean reversion in real effective exchange rates: A Fisher-type panel unit root test applied to Sub-Saharan Africa," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PB), pages 189-198.
    3. Andreea-Daniela GANGONE & Mariana-Cristina GANESCU & Mihaela ASANDEI, 2018. "An Analysis Of The Effect Of Purchasing Power Parity On National Competitiveness And Human Development In 21 European Countries," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 3(1), pages 152-165.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chi-Wei Su & Tsangyao Chang & Yu-Shao Liu, 2012. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for African countries: with nonlinear panel unit-root tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(25), pages 3263-3273, September.
    2. He, Huizhen & Ranjbar, Omid & Chang, Tsangyao, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in transition countries: Old wine with new bottle," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 24-32.
    3. He, Huizhen & Chou, Ming Che & Chang, Tsangyao, 2014. "Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries: Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 37-43.
    4. Guochen Pan & Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee & Wen-Chi Liu, 2012. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for 18 African countries: sequential panel selection method," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 877-881, June.
    5. He, Huizhen & Chang, Tsangyao, 2013. "Purchasing power parity in transition countries: Sequential panel selection method," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 604-609.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Shu-Ching Cheng & Tsung-Pao Wu, 2015. "Revisiting purchasing power parity in major oil-exporting countries," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1-2), pages 108-116, July.
    7. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu & Han-Wen Tzeng & Chin-Ping Yu, 2010. "Purchasing power parity for G-7 countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1223-1228.
    8. Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2010. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(13), pages 1329-1334.
    9. Tsangyao Chang & De-Piao Tang & Wen-Chi Liu & Chia-Hao Lee, 2010. "Purchasing power parity for 15 COMESA and SADC countries: evidence based on panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1721-1727.
    10. Tsangyao Chang & Yang-Cheng Lu & Wen-Chi Liu & Shu-Chen Kang, 2011. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for major oil-exporting countries using panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 63-67.
    11. Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu & Tsangyao Chang & Chi-Chen Chiu & Han-Wen Tzeng, 2011. "Revisiting purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 251-255.
    12. Miguel Carvalho & Paulo Júlio, 2012. "Digging out the PPP hypothesis: an integrated empirical coverage," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 713-744, June.
    13. Wu, Jyh-Lin & Lee, Hsiu-Yun, 2009. "A revisit to the non-linear mean reversion of real exchange rates: Evidence from a series-specific non-linear panel unit-root test," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 591-601, December.
    14. Tsangyao Chang & Yu-Shao Liu & Chi-Wei Su, 2012. "Purchasing power parity with nonlinear and asymmetric smooth adjustment for the Middle Eastern countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 487-491, March.
    15. Lee, Chia-Hao & Chou, Pei-I, 2013. "The behavior of real exchange rate: Nonlinearity and breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 125-133.
    16. Gawon Yoon, 2010. "On the performance of a nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity in the presence of linearity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(14), pages 1389-1396.
    17. Tsangyao Chang & Hsu-Ling Chang & Ken Hung & Chi-Wei Su, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity for Germany's real exchange rate relative to its major trading partners," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 197-202, February.
    18. Gawon Yoon, 2010. "Nonlinearity in real exchange rates: an approach with disaggregated data and a new linearity test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1125-1132.
    19. JamesR. Lothian & MarkP. Taylor, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates Over the Past Two Centuries: How Important is the Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson Effect?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(532), pages 1742-1763, October.
    20. Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Ricky Chee-Jiun Chia & Tai-Hu Ling, 2010. "Long-run validity of purchasing power parity and rank tests for cointegration for Central Asian countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(11), pages 1073-1077.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:411-415. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEL20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.