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Does the day-of-the-week effect on volatility improve the volatility forecasts?

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  • Am�lie Charles

Abstract

This study tests the presence of the day-of-the-week effect on stock market volatility of six European stock markets. Using a GARCH or GARCH-GJR specifications for the variance equation, we find that the day of week effect is present in volatility equation. Finally, we test whether the statistically significant in-sample findings regarding seasonality in volatility lead to better out-of-sample forecasts of volatility.

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  • Am�lie Charles, 2010. "Does the day-of-the-week effect on volatility improve the volatility forecasts?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 257-262, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:257-262
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720106
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    1. Yadav, Pradeep K. & Pope, Peter F., 1992. "Intraweek and intraday seasonalities in stock market risk premia: Cash and futures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 233-270, February.
    2. Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993. "On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.
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    4. Philip Hans Franses & Richard Paap, 2000. "Modelling day-of-the-week seasonality in the S&P 500 index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 483-488.
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    6. French, Kenneth R., 1980. "Stock returns and the weekend effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 55-69, March.
    7. Hakan Berument & Halil Kiymaz, 2001. "The day of the week effect on stock market volatility," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 25(2), pages 181-193, June.
    8. Ercan Balaban & Asli Bayar & Ozgur Berk Kan, 2001. "Stock returns, seasonality and asymmetric conditional volatility in world equity markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 263-268.
    9. Aggarwal, Reena & Rivoli, Pietra, 1989. "Seasonal and Day-of-the-Week Effects in Four Emerging Stock Markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 541-550, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T. & Guerrero, David E., 2013. "Day-of-the-week effect on the VIX. A parsimonious representation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 243-260.
    2. Bentes, Sonia R., 2018. "Is stock market volatility asymmetric? A multi-period analysis for five countries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 258-265.
    3. Carlos Francisco Alves & Duarte André de Castro Reis, 2018. "Evidence of Idiosyncratic Seasonality in ETFs Performance," FEP Working Papers 603, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    4. Kristjanpoller Rodríguez Werner, 2013. "Anomalías en la autocorrelación de rendimientos y la importancia de los periodos de no transacción en mercados latinoamericanos," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 58(1), pages 37-62, enero-mar.
    5. Osabuohien-Irabor Osarumwense, 2015. "Day-of-the-week effect in the Nigerian Stock Market Returns and Volatility: Does the Distributional Assumptions Influence Disappearance?," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(4), pages 33-44.
    6. Wamg, Jianxin, 2011. "Forecasting Volatility in Asian Stock Markets: Contributions of Local, Regional, and Global Factors," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 32-57.

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