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Convergence in exchange rates: market's view on CE-4 joining EMU

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Author Info
Oxana Babetskaia-Kukharchuk
Ian Babetskii
Jirí Podpiera

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Abstract

We empirically analyse currency fluctuations in four central European states (CE-4) against the USD and Euro, employing daily data over 1 January 1994 to 10 October 2005 and constructing a dynamic correlation coefficient based on the estimates of a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model. We find evidence of convergence in exchange rate volatilities between CE-4 currencies and the Euro. In other words, from the US market's point of view, currencies of the CE-4 region and the Euro tend to behave quite similarly. This degree of synchronicity is in line with the composition of currency baskets and the share of the Euro as a trade-invoicing currency in the CE-4 economies.

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File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 15 (2008)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Pages: 385-390
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:385-390

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  1. Daniel Stavárek, 2009. "Assessment of the exchange rate convergence in Euro-candidate countries," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(25), pages 159-180, February. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.


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