Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
AbstractThe catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland is analysed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP vs. the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous breaks in the level and the trend. We find that Czech Republic and Hungary are stochastically converging towards the Mediterranean group, while only Czech Republic is stochastically converging towards EU15. Remaining per capita GDP differences are only reduced by deterministic trends. Extrapolating these trends we find that catching up will take about 20 years.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.
Volume (Year): 14 (2007)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
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Other versions of this item:
- Ralf Brüggemann & Carsten Trenkler, 2005. "Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-014, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
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