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Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland

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Ralf Brüggemann
Carsten Trenkler

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Abstract

The catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland is analysed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP vs. the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous breaks in the level and the trend. We find that Czech Republic and Hungary are stochastically converging towards the Mediterranean group, while only Czech Republic is stochastically converging towards EU15. Remaining per capita GDP differences are only reduced by deterministic trends. Extrapolating these trends we find that catching up will take about 20 years.

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Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 14 (2007)
Issue (Month): 4-6 ()
Pages: 245-249
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4-6:p:245-249

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