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Bai and Perron's and spectral density methods for structural change detection in the US inflation process

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Author Info
Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa
Mohamed Boutahar
Jamel Jouini

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Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the number of breaks and their locations in the monthly US inflation series using two different approaches to testing for structural changes. The first approach considers Bai and Perron's selection procedure based on a sequence of tests. This approach focuses on the instability problem in time. The second method uses a test similar to the one based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics applied to the evolutionary spectrum. The results obtained are similar and economically significant.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 11 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (February)
Pages: 109-115
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:109-115

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Critical values for multiple structural change tests," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 72-78, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa & Jamel Jouini, 2003. "Structural breaks in the US inflation process," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(10), pages 633-636, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ploberger, Werner & Kramer, Walter, 1992. "The CUSUM Test with OLS Residuals," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 271-85, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Artis, Michael J & Bladen-Hovell, Robin & Nachane, Dilip M, 1992. "Instability of the Velocity of Money: A New Approach Based on the Evolutionary Spectrum," CEPR Discussion Papers 735, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ahamada, Ibrahim, 2002. "Tests for covariance stationarity and white noise, with an application to Euro/US dollar exchange rate: An approach based on the evolutionary spectral density," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 177-186, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Bill Russell, 2007. "Non-Stationary Inflation and Panel Estimates of United States Short and Long-run Phillips curves," Discussion Papers 200, University of Dundee, Economic Studies. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jamel Jouini, 2006. "Bootstrap Tests in Bivariate VAR Process with Single Structural Change : Power versus Corrected Size and Empirical Illustration," Working Papers halshs-00410759_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ibrahim Ahamada & Jamel Jouini & Mohamed Boutahar, 2004. "Detecting multiple breaks in time series covariance structure: a non-parametric approach based on the evolutionary spectral density," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1095-1101, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Essahbi Essaadi & Mohamed Boutahar, 2008. "A Measure of Variability in Comovement for Economic Variables : a Time-Varying Coherence Function Approach," Post-Print halshs-00333582_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  5. Ahdi Ajmi & Adnen Ben Nasr & Mohamed Boutahar, 2008. "Seasonal Nonlinear Long Memory Model for the US Inflation Rates," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 243-254, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Mohamed Boutahar & Jamel Jouini, 2007. "A Methodology For Detecting Breaks In The Mean And Covariance Structure Of Time Series," Working Papers halshs-00354249_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  7. Strikholm, Birgit, 2006. "Determining the number of breaks in a piecewise linear regression model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 648, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Vincent Wenxiong Yao, 2006. "Modelling the structural break in volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(7), pages 417-422, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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