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Structural breaks in the US inflation process

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Author Info
Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa
Jamel Jouini

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Abstract

The empirical evidence of the instability based on some selection procedures is explored. The focus is on the problem of choosing the number of structural breaks and their locations for the US inflation series. The obtained results give reason for thinking that they are very significant since they coincide with important facts and economic events. They show in particular that the evolution curve of inflation in the USA was flattened during the last 20 years since it is noted that this reduction in extent of inflation is stable and durable.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 10 (2003)
Issue (Month): 10 (August)
Pages: 633-636
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:633-636

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Yao, Yi-Ching, 1988. "Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 181-189, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Perron, P, 1988. "The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock And The Unit Root Hypothesis," Papers 338, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
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  3. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 1992. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 251-70, July.
    Other versions:
  4. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jamel Jouini, 2006. "Bootstrap Tests in Bivariate VAR Process with Single Structural Change : Power versus Corrected Size and Empirical Illustration," Working Papers halshs-00410759_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  2. Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa & Mohamed Boutahar & Jamel Jouini, 2004. "Bai and Perron's and spectral density methods for structural change detection in the US inflation process," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 109-115, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Leo Krippner, 2008. "A Macroeconomic Foundation for the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Research Paper Series 226, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  4. Mustapha Belkhouja & Mohamed Boutahar, 2009. "Structural Change and Long Memory in the Dynamic of U.S. Inflation Process," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 195-216, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ibrahim Ahamada & Jamel Jouini & Mohamed Boutahar, 2004. "Detecting multiple breaks in time series covariance structure: a non-parametric approach based on the evolutionary spectral density," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1095-1101, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Essahbi Essaadi & Mohamed Boutahar, 2008. "A Measure of Variability in Comovement for Economic Variables : a Time-Varying Coherence Function Approach," Post-Print halshs-00333582_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  7. Leo Krippner, 2005. "Investigating the Relationships between the Yield Curve, Output and Inflation using an Arbitrage-Free Version of the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Working Papers in Economics 05/02, University of Waikato, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. J. Jouini & M. Boutahar, 2003. "Structural breaks in the U.S. inflation process: a further investigation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(15), pages 985-988, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Vincent Wenxiong Yao, 2006. "Modelling the structural break in volatility," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(7), pages 417-422, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Leo Krippner, 2005. "A New Framework for Yield Curve, Output and Inflation Relationships," Working Papers in Economics 05/07, University of Waikato, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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