Can Shift to a Funded Pension System Affect National Saving? The Case of Iceland
AbstractAcross industrialised and developing countries public pension systems have been heavily reformed during the last two decades. The major concern relates the financial sustainability of pay-as-you-go pension schemes. The proposals to privatize social security lead to the creation of a multipillar system. This study assesses the validity of the effect of pension reforms on domestic savings in two steps: first, to test for the existence of a long-run relationship, we use an ARDL model; second, we employ the Kalman filter algorithm, in order to recover the parameter dynamics overtime. We analyse the case of Iceland because its pension system is characterized by a large mandatory private pillar. The empirical evidence supports the widely held view that growing mandatory pension funds financial assets has significantly positive impact on national saving. Moreover, we show that the pattern of the pension funds’ coefficients seems to capture well the economic dynamic of the period. The coefficients of the funded pillars illustrate a shift upward soon after the launch of the reforms in 1998. Later on, these coefficients show a negative trend till the middle of 2004 and they increase sharply until the beginning of 2006. Afterwards, following the Icelandic and international financial crisis, they strongly declines.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by ASERS Publishing in its journal Theoretical and Practical Research in Economic Fields.
Volume (Year): I (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 (June)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.asers.eu/journals/tpref.html
national saving; pension funds; multipillar system; ARDL model; Kalman filter;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
- G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Ashok Thomas & Luca Spataro, 2013. "Pension funds and Market Efficiency: A review," Discussion Papers 2013/164, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Laura Ungureanu).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.