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Concentration And Competitiveness O The Banking Market In Serbia: Current Situation And Possible Future Changes Under The Influence Of Market Consolidation

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Author Info

  • Dragan Lončar

    (Faculty of Economics University of Belgrade)

  • Vesna Rajić

    (Faculty of Economics University of Belgrade)

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    Abstract

    Serbia is a bank-centered financial market, which means that the analysis of concentration and competition is important. Currently, the banking market is weakly to moderately concentrated or mildly oligopolistic. In the future, we can expect a consolidation of the banking market in terms of reducing the number of banks and strengthening the market power of the largest banks. Possible channels of consolidation are the sales of the remaining state owned banking package, takeovers between banks and the disappearance of some banks as a result of competitive selection. The paper analyzes the possible scenarios for the future consolidation and their impacts on the competitive dynamics. The authors argue in favor of a positive impact of a more moderate consolidation on competition indicators, but are also warning the regulator to prevent excessive concentration and cartel arrangements.

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    File URL: http://www.ses.org.rs/ekonomika-preduzeca/2012-7-8-05.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by SAE - Serbian Association of Economists in its journal SAE Journal.

    Volume (Year): (2012)
    Issue (Month): 7-8 (December)
    Pages: 372-385

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    Handle: RePEc:srb:journl:y:2012:i:7-8:p:372-385

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    Related research

    Keywords: banking market; consolidation; Serbia; concentration; competition;

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    References

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    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    1. L. Deidda & B. Fattouh, 2002. "Concentration in the banking industry and economic growth," Working Paper CRENoS 200202, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    2. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-deSilanes & Andrei Shleifer, 2000. "Government Ownership of Banks," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1890, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    3. Dragan Ðuričin & Iva Vuksanović, 2012. "Isn’T Output More Important Than Inflation In Impotent Economy: Serbia’S Economic Policies Revision," Serbian Association of Economists Journal, SAE - Serbian Association of Economists, issue 1-2, pages 13-32, February.
    4. J.A. Bikker & K. Haaf, 2000. "Competition, concentration and their relationship: an empirical analysis of the banking industry," Research Series Supervision (discontinued) 30, Netherlands Central Bank, Directorate Supervision.
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