IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v28y2014i7p1921-1936.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Regional Limit of Flood-Bearing Capability: A Theoretical Model and Approaches

Author

Listed:
  • Guangming Yu
  • Sa Wang
  • Qiwu Yu
  • Lei Wu
  • Yong Fan
  • Xiaoli He
  • Xia Zhou
  • Huanhuan Jia
  • Shu Zhang
  • Xiaojuan Tian

Abstract

A series of interesting questions will be proposed and tried to be answered in this paper such as: Is there a limit of disaster-bearing capability in a region human-environment system (HES) when the system is hit by an extreme flood disaster? If so, what does it mean and how can it be explained? An assumption, naming the regional limit of flood-bearing capability (LFBC), is suggested and proved to respond these questions in this study. The LFBC model consists of three factors, namely, the disaster-causing factor (DCF), disaster-bearing factor (DBF) and disaster-regulating factor (DRF). The DCF can be selected from the cause analysis of flood, the DBF can be extracted from analysis of flood risk and vulnerability, and the DRF is responding to the analysis of flood risk management and measures. The logical relations among the three factors are determined by the analysis of flood inundation-loss models. The limit of disaster-bearing capability in regional HES is introduced by the principles of threshold analysis in terms of large-scale system theory, and can be expressed as the regional inundated depth or the amount of water in a flood. The LFBC model is built up following this idea, and approaches of its application are stated with the support of remote sensing (RS) and geographical information system (GIS). Substantial changes in terms of system succession, such as reservoir resettlement, population migration and land use pattern change, would occur only when extreme flood beyond its limit of disaster-bearing capability in a regional HES. Otherwise, the difference can be use to measures the damage conditions. Combining the occurrence probability of extreme flood, the LFBC model could be used to provide the data support for flood damage assessment, regional disaster control and reduction countermeasures, and regional development planning. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Guangming Yu & Sa Wang & Qiwu Yu & Lei Wu & Yong Fan & Xiaoli He & Xia Zhou & Huanhuan Jia & Shu Zhang & Xiaojuan Tian, 2014. "The Regional Limit of Flood-Bearing Capability: A Theoretical Model and Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(7), pages 1921-1936, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:7:p:1921-1936
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0580-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-014-0580-8
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-014-0580-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. José Sena & Leandro Beser de Deus & Marcos Freitas & Lazaro Costa, 2012. "Extreme Events of Droughts and Floods in Amazonia: 2005 and 2009," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1665-1676, April.
    2. James Charalambous & Ataur Rahman & Don Carroll, 2013. "Application of Monte Carlo Simulation Technique to Design Flood Estimation: A Case Study for North Johnstone River in Queensland, Australia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 4099-4111, September.
    3. Dilini Delgoda & Syed Saleem & Malka Halgamuge & Hector Malano, 2013. "Multiple Model Predictive Flood Control in Regulated River Systems with Uncertain Inflows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(3), pages 765-790, February.
    4. George Tsakiris & Mike Spiliotis, 2011. "Planning Against Long Term Water Scarcity: A Fuzzy Multicriteria Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(4), pages 1103-1129, March.
    5. D. Parker & S. Priest, 2012. "The Fallibility of Flood Warning Chains: Can Europe’s Flood Warnings Be Effective?," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(10), pages 2927-2950, August.
    6. Roberto Ponce & Felipe Vásquez & Alejandra Stehr & Patrick Debels & Carlos Orihuela, 2011. "Estimating the Economic Value of Landscape Losses Due to Flooding by Hydropower Plants in the Chilean Patagonia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(10), pages 2449-2466, August.
    7. S. Jonkman, 2005. "Global Perspectives on Loss of Human Life Caused by Floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 34(2), pages 151-175, February.
    8. Matthew Heberger & Heather Cooley & Pablo Herrera & Peter Gleick & Eli Moore, 2011. "Potential impacts of increased coastal flooding in California due to sea-level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 229-249, December.
    9. Honghai Qi & Pu Qi & M. Altinakar, 2013. "GIS-Based Spatial Monte Carlo Analysis for Integrated Flood Management with Two Dimensional Flood Simulation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3631-3645, August.
    10. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Ching-Nuo Chen & Chang-Tai Tsai, 2012. "Physiographic Drainage-Inundation Model Based Flooding Vulnerability Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(5), pages 1307-1323, March.
    11. Michalis Diakakis, 2011. "A method for flood hazard mapping based on basin morphometry: application in two catchments in Greece," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 56(3), pages 803-814, March.
    12. Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
    13. Yen-Chang Chen & Yung-Chia Hsu & Kuang-Ting Kuo, 2013. "Uncertainties in the Methods of Flood Discharge Measurement," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(1), pages 153-167, January.
    14. Chandra Sharma & Mukund Behera & Atmaram Mishra & Sudhindra Panda, 2011. "Assessing Flood Induced Land-Cover Changes Using Remote Sensing and Fuzzy Approach in Eastern Gujarat (India)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3219-3246, October.
    15. Volker Meyer & Sebastian Scheuer & Dagmar Haase, 2009. "A multicriteria approach for flood risk mapping exemplified at the Mulde river, Germany," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 48(1), pages 17-39, January.
    16. Darren Lumbroso & Karin Stone & Freddy Vinet, 2011. "An assessment of flood emergency plans in England and Wales, France and the Netherlands," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 341-363, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Peng Gao & Wei Gao & Nan Ke, 2021. "Assessing the impact of flood inundation dynamics on an urban environment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 1047-1072, October.
    2. Christopher Burgess & Michael Taylor & Tannecia Stephenson & Arpita Mandal & Leiska Powell, 2015. "A macro-scale flood risk model for Jamaica with impact of climate variability," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 231-256, August.
    3. Omvir Singh & Manish Kumar, 2013. "Flood events, fatalities and damages in India from 1978 to 2006," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1815-1834, December.
    4. Benyou Jia & Slobodan P. Simonovic & Pingan Zhong & Zhongbo Yu, 2016. "A Multi-Objective Best Compromise Decision Model for Real-Time Flood Mitigation Operations of Multi-Reservoir System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(10), pages 3363-3387, August.
    5. Davor Kvočka & Roger A. Falconer & Michaela Bray, 2016. "Flood hazard assessment for extreme flood events," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1569-1599, December.
    6. Hae-Yeol Kang & Seung Taek Chae & Eun-Sung Chung, 2023. "Quantifying Medium-Sized City Flood Vulnerability Due to Climate Change Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Techniques: Case of Republic of Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-20, November.
    7. Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf & Alfred Kalyanapu & Eun-Sung Chung, 2015. "Evaluating the Effects of Inundation Duration and Velocity on Selection of Flood Management Alternatives Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2543-2561, June.
    8. Rebecca E. Morss & Julie L. Demuth & Ann Bostrom & Jeffrey K. Lazo & Heather Lazrus, 2015. "Flash Flood Risks and Warning Decisions: A Mental Models Study of Forecasters, Public Officials, and Media Broadcasters in Boulder, Colorado," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(11), pages 2009-2028, November.
    9. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    10. Kaddour Mehiriz & Pierre Gosselin, 2016. "Municipalities' Preparedness for Weather Hazards and Response to Weather Warnings," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(9), pages 1-17, September.
    11. Fauzan Hanif Jufri & Jun-Sung Kim & Jaesung Jung, 2017. "Analysis of Determinants of the Impact and the Grid Capability to Evaluate and Improve Grid Resilience from Extreme Weather Event," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    12. Maria Lucia Ferreira Barbosa & Rafael Coll Delgado & Paulo Eduardo Teodoro & Marcos Gervasio Pereira & Tamíres Partélli Correia & Bruno Araujo Furtado Mendonça & Rafael de Rodrigues, 2019. "Occurrence of fire foci under different land uses in the State of Amazonas during the 2005 drought," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(6), pages 2707-2720, December.
    13. Sebastian Scheuer & Dagmar Haase & Volker Meyer, 2011. "Exploring multicriteria flood vulnerability by integrating economic, social and ecological dimensions of flood risk and coping capacity: from a starting point view towards an end point view of vulnera," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(2), pages 731-751, August.
    14. Milan Janić, 2018. "Modelling the resilience of rail passenger transport networks affected by large-scale disruptive events: the case of HSR (high speed rail)," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1101-1137, July.
    15. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    16. Zobel, Christopher W. & Baghersad, Milad, 2020. "Analytically comparing disaster resilience across multiple dimensions," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Zeng, Zhiguo & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zhai, Qingqing & Du, Shijia, 2021. "A Markov reward process-based framework for resilience analysis of multistate energy systems under the threat of extreme events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    18. Sivadasan, Jagadeesh & Xu, Wenjian, 2021. "Missing women in India: Gender-specific effects of early-life rainfall shocks," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    19. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
    20. Gianina Cojoc & Gheorghe Romanescu & Alina Tirnovan, 2015. "Exceptional floods on a developed river: case study for the Bistrita River from the Eastern Carpathians (Romania)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(3), pages 1421-1451, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:7:p:1921-1936. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.