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A Global Outlook for Water Resources to the Year 2025

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  • Surendra Kulshreshtha

Abstract

With growing concerns for sustainable development world over, planners of natural resources are focussing their attention on vulnerability arising from availability and use of water resources. Past studies of water resource vulnerability have either been too aggregate, or have focussed on one single dimension of these issues. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of global (using national scope) water resource-based vulnerability (WRV) using a joint criteria of water availability and its relative use. Vulnerability status for each country was assessed for the present (1990) situation, as well as for the year 2025. Four factors were taken into account to determine the nature of the WRV for a country: population growth, food self-sufficiency, industrial development, and climate change. World population growth, which is projected to increase to 8.45 billion people by the year 2025, by itself would trigger 40% of the population residing in countries facing some degree of WRV. Combined with food self-sufficiency, industrial growth, and climate change, by the year 2025, some 5.1 billion (60% of the total world population) would live in regions potentially experiencing moderate to extreme WRV. The study suggests that the regions that are at great risk are those already facing some degree of WRV; the climate change would most likely accentuate the already worsening situation in many regions, while improve it in regions that are not projected to be vulnerable. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998

Suggested Citation

  • Surendra Kulshreshtha, 1998. "A Global Outlook for Water Resources to the Year 2025," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(3), pages 167-184, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:12:y:1998:i:3:p:167-184
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1007957229865
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    Cited by:

    1. Ryan Plummer & Rob Loë & Derek Armitage, 2012. "A Systematic Review of Water Vulnerability Assessment Tools," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4327-4346, December.
    2. Siyu Zeng & Jining Chen & Ping Fu, 2008. "Strategic Zoning for Urban Wastewater Reuse in China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(9), pages 1297-1309, September.
    3. Haobin Meng & Jing Zhang & Zhen Zheng, 2022. "Retrieving Inland Reservoir Water Quality Parameters Using Landsat 8-9 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI Sensors with Empirical Multivariate Regression," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-26, June.
    4. Shama Perveen & L. James, 2010. "Multiscale Effects on Spatial Variability Metrics in Global Water Resources Data," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(9), pages 1903-1924, July.
    5. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Ya-Yi Hsiao, 2012. "Water-deficit-based drought risk assessments in Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 237-257, October.
    6. Ahmad Saleh Safi & William James Smith & Zhnongwei Liu, 2012. "Rural Nevada and Climate Change: Vulnerability, Beliefs, and Risk Perception," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(6), pages 1041-1059, June.

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