IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v23y2014i2p219-255.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Lajos Horváth
  • Gregory Rice

Abstract

A common goal in modeling and data mining is to determine, based on sample data, whether or not a change of some sort has occurred in a quantity of interest. The study of statistical problems of this nature is typically referred to as change point analysis. Though change point analysis originated nearly 70 years ago, it is still an active area of research and much effort has been put forth to develop new methodology and discover new applications to address modern statistical questions. In this paper we survey some classical results in change point analysis and recent extensions to time series, multivariate, panel and functional data. We also present real data examples which illustrate the utility of the surveyed results. Copyright Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Lajos Horváth & Gregory Rice, 2014. "Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 219-255, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:23:y:2014:i:2:p:219-255
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-014-0368-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11749-014-0368-4
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-014-0368-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carrion-i-Silvestre, Josep Lluís & Kim, Dukpa & Perron, Pierre, 2009. "Gls-Based Unit Root Tests With Multiple Structural Breaks Under Both The Null And The Alternative Hypotheses," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(6), pages 1754-1792, December.
    2. Hidalgo, Javier & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2013. "Testing for structural stability in the whole sample," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 84-93.
    3. Alexander Aue & Lajos Horváth, 2013. "Structural breaks in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2002. "Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 579-600.
    5. Gombay, Edit, 2001. "U-Statistics for Change under Alternatives," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 139-158, July.
    6. Ng, Serena, 2008. "A Simple Test for Nonstationarity in Mixed Panels," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 113-127, January.
    7. Sangyeol Lee & Siyun Park, 2001. "The Cusum of Squares Test for Scale Changes in Infinite Order Moving Average Processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 28(4), pages 625-644, December.
    8. Cheng Hsiao, 2007. "Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 16(1), pages 1-22, May.
    9. Wied, Dominik & Dehling, Herold & van Kampen, Maarten & Vogel, Daniel, 2014. "A fluctuation test for constant Spearman’s rho with nuisance-free limit distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 723-736.
    10. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    11. Busetti, Fabio & Taylor, A. M. Robert, 2004. "Tests of stationarity against a change in persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 33-66, November.
    12. Bai, Jushan, 1999. "Likelihood ratio tests for multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 299-323, August.
    13. Bai, Jushan, 2010. "Common breaks in means and variances for panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 78-92, July.
    14. Batsidis, A. & Horváth, L. & Martín, N. & Pardo, L. & Zografos, K., 2013. "Change-point detection in multinomial data using phi-divergence test statistics," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 53-66.
    15. Iacone, Fabrizio & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Robert Taylor, A.M., 2013. "Testing for a break in trend when the order of integration is unknown," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 30-45.
    16. Söhnke M. Bartram & Gregory Brown & René M. Stulz, 2012. "Why Are U.S. Stocks More Volatile?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(4), pages 1329-1370, August.
    17. Horváth, Lajos & Husková, Marie & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2010. "Testing the stability of the functional autoregressive process," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 352-367, February.
    18. Kuan, Chung-Ming, 1998. "Tests for changes in models with a polynomial trend," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 75-91, May.
    19. Dominicy, Yves & Hörmann, Siegfried & Ogata, Hiroaki & Veredas, David, 2013. "On sample marginal quantiles for stationary processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 28-36.
    20. Chu, Chia-Shang James & Stinchcombe, Maxwell & White, Halbert, 1996. "Monitoring Structural Change," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1045-1065, September.
    21. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
    22. Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr & Steinebach, Josef, 2007. "On sequential detection of parameter changes in linear regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(9), pages 885-895, May.
    23. Oberhofer, Walter & Haupt, Harry, 2005. "The asymptotic distribution of the unconditional quantile estimator under dependence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 73(3), pages 243-250, July.
    24. Chochola, Ondřej & Hušková, Marie & Prášková, Zuzana & Steinebach, Josef G., 2013. "Robust monitoring of CAPM portfolio betas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 374-395.
    25. Dutta, Kalyan & Sen, Pranab Kumar, 1971. "On the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles in some stationary multivariate autoregressive processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 186-198, June.
    26. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    27. Westerlund, Joakim & Larsson, Rolf, 2012. "Testing for a unit root in a random coefficient panel data model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 254-273.
    28. Horváth, Lajos & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2016. "Statistical inference in a random coefficient panel model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 54-75.
    29. Dehling, Herold & Fried, Roland, 2012. "Asymptotic distribution of two-sample empirical U-quantiles with applications to robust tests for shifts in location," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 124-140.
    30. Wied, Dominik & Krämer, Walter & Dehling, Herold, 2012. "Testing For A Change In Correlation At An Unknown Point In Time Using An Extended Functional Delta Method," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(3), pages 570-589, June.
    31. Aue, Alexander & Horváth, Lajos, 2004. "Delay time in sequential detection of change," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 221-231, April.
    32. V. K. Jandhyala & I. B. MacNeill, 1997. "Iterated Partial Sum Sequences of Regression Residuals and Tests for Changepoints with Continuity Constraints," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(1), pages 147-156.
    33. Wright, Jonathan H., 1996. "Structural stability tests in the linear regression model when the regressors have roots local to unity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 257-262, September.
    34. Hansen, Bruce E., 2000. "Testing for structural change in conditional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 93-115, July.
    35. Kargin, V. & Onatski, A., 2008. "Curve forecasting by functional autoregression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(10), pages 2508-2526, November.
    36. Liu, Weidong & Wu, Wei Biao, 2010. "Asymptotics Of Spectral Density Estimates," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 1218-1245, August.
    37. Yves Dominicy & Siegfried Hörmann & David Veredas & Hiroaki Ogata, 2012. "Marginal quantiles for stationary processes," Working Papers 1228, Banco de España.
    38. Zdeněk Hlávka & Marie Hušková & Claudia Kirch & Simos Meintanis, 2012. "Monitoring changes in the error distribution of autoregressive models based on Fourier methods," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(4), pages 605-634, December.
    39. Aue, Alexander & Horváth, Lajos & Hušková, Marie, 2012. "Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 367-381.
    40. Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr & Steinebach, Josef, 1999. "Testing for Changes in Multivariate Dependent Observations with an Application to Temperature Changes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 96-119, January.
    41. Marie Hušková & Claudia Kirch, 2012. "Bootstrapping sequential change-point tests for linear regression," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 75(5), pages 673-708, July.
    42. Gombay, Edit, 1994. "Testing for change-points with rank and sign statistics," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 49-55, May.
    43. Gombay, Edit & Horváth, Lajos, 1996. "On the Rate of Approximations for Maximum Likelihood Tests in Change-Point Models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 120-152, January.
    44. Cheng Hsiao, 2007. "Rejoinder on: Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 16(1), pages 56-57, May.
    45. Claudia Kirch & Joseph Tadjuidje Kamgaing, 2012. "Testing for parameter stability in nonlinear autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 365-385, May.
    46. Kim, Jae-Young, 2000. "Detection of change in persistence of a linear time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 97-116, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    2. Hoga, Yannick, 2017. "Monitoring multivariate time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 105-121.
    3. Lajos Horváth & William Pouliot & Shixuan Wang, 2017. "Detecting at-Most-m Changes in Linear Regression Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 552-590, July.
    4. Skrobotov, Anton, 2020. "Survey on structural breaks and unit root tests," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 58, pages 96-141.
    5. Horváth, Lajos & Liu, Zhenya & Rice, Gregory & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "Sequential monitoring for changes from stationarity to mild non-stationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 209-238.
    6. Aue, Alexander & Horváth, Lajos & Hušková, Marie, 2012. "Segmenting mean-nonstationary time series via trending regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 367-381.
    7. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    8. Barigozzi, Matteo & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2020. "Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(8), pages 5149-5187.
    9. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.
    10. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2019. "Unemployment rate hysteresis and the great recession: exploring the metropolitan evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 61-79, January.
    11. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    12. Giuseppe Cavaliere & A. M. Robert Taylor, 2006. "Testing for a Change in Persistence in the Presence of a Volatility Shift," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 761-781, December.
    13. Alaa Abi Morshed & Elena Andreou & Otilia Boldea, 2018. "Structural Break Tests Robust to Regression Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-39, May.
    14. Lajos Horváth & Curtis Miller & Gregory Rice, 2021. "Detecting early or late changes in linear models with heteroscedastic errors," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 577-609, June.
    15. Roy Cerqueti & Mauro Costantini & Luciano Gutierrez, 2009. "New panel tests to assess inflation persistence," Working Papers 54-2009, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Oct 2009.
    16. Georgios P. Kouretas & Mark E. Wohar, 2012. "The dynamics of inflation: a study of a large number of countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(16), pages 2001-2026, June.
    17. Aue, Alexander & Horváth, Lajos & Reimherr, Matthew L., 2009. "Delay times of sequential procedures for multiple time series regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 174-190, April.
    18. Górecki, Tomasz & Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2018. "Change point detection in heteroscedastic time series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 63-88.
    19. A. M. Robert Taylor, 2005. "Fluctuation Tests for a Change in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(2), pages 207-230, April.
    20. Marie Hušková & Zuzana Prášková, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 265-269, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:23:y:2014:i:2:p:219-255. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.