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Modelling Dyadic Interaction with Hawkes Processes

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We apply the Hawkes process to the analysis of dyadic interaction. The Hawkes process is applicable to excitatory interactions, wherein the actions of each individual increase the probability of further actions in the near future. We consider the representation of the Hawkes process both as a conditional intensity function and as a cluster Poisson process. The former treats the probability of an action in continuous time via non-stationary distributions with arbitrarily long historical dependency, while the latter is conducive to maximum likelihood estimation using the EM algorithm. We first outline the interpretation of the Hawkes process in the dyadic context, and then illustrate its application with an example concerning email transactions in the work place. Copyright The Psychometric Society 2013

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  • Peter Halpin & Paul Boeck, 2013. "Modelling Dyadic Interaction with Hawkes Processes," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 78(4), pages 793-814, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:psycho:v:78:y:2013:i:4:p:793-814
    DOI: 10.1007/s11336-013-9329-1
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    4. Veen, Alejandro & Schoenberg, Frederic P., 2008. "Estimation of SpaceTime Branching Process Models in Seismology Using an EMType Algorithm," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 614-624, June.
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    1. Vipul Aggarwal & Elina H. Hwang & Yong Tan, 2021. "Learning to Be Creative: A Mutually Exciting Spatiotemporal Point Process Model for Idea Generation in Open Innovation," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 1214-1235, December.
    2. Laurent Lesage & Madalina Deaconu & Antoine Lejay & Jorge Augusto Meira & Geoffrey Nichil & Radu State, 2022. "Hawkes processes framework with a Gamma density as excitation function: application to natural disasters for insurance," Post-Print hal-03040090, HAL.
    3. Laurent Lesage & Madalina Deaconu & Antoine Lejay & Jorge Augusto Meira & Geoffrey Nichil & Radu State, 2022. "Hawkes Processes Framework With a Gamma Density As Excitation Function: Application to Natural Disasters for Insurance," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 2509-2537, December.
    4. Li, Zhongping & Cui, Lirong & Chen, Jianhui, 2018. "Traffic accident modelling via self-exciting point processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 312-320.
    5. Laurent Lesage & Madalina Deaconu & Antoine Lejay & Jorge Augusto Meira & Geoffrey Nichil & Radu State, 2020. "Hawkes processes framework with a Gamma density as excitation function: application to natural disasters for insurance," Working Papers hal-03040090, HAL.

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