A mathematical theory of evidence for G.L.S. Shackle
AbstractEvidence Theory is a branch of mathematics that concerns the combination of empirical evidence in an individual's mind in order to construct a coherent picture of reality. Designed to deal with unexpected empirical evidence suggesting new possibilities, evidence theory has a lot in common with Shackle's idea of decision-making as a creative act. This essay investigates this connection in detail, pointing to the usefulness of evidence theory to formalise and extend Shackle's decision theory. In order to ease a proper framing of the issues involved, evidence theory is not only compared with Shackle's ideas but also with additive and sub-additive probability theories. Furthermore, the presentation of evidence theory does not refer to the original version only, but takes account of its most recent developments, too.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Fondazione Rosselli in its journal Mind & Society.
Volume (Year): 2 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Other versions of this item:
- Guido Fioretti, 2001. "A mathematical theory of evidence for G.L.S. Shackle," ICER Working Papers 03-2001, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
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