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The effects of teenage fertility on young adult childbearing

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Author Info
David C. Ribar (Department of Economics, George Washington University, 2201 G Street, NW, Washington, DC 20052, USA)
Abstract

Numerous studies of fertility behavior find that an early age at first birth increases the rate of subsequent childbearing. Typically, however, these studies do not account for the possibility of serial correlation in the unobserved determinants of fertility. Using 1979-1992 individual-level data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, this paper employs the Method of Simulated Moments to estimate panel probit models of annual birth outcomes. The panel probit models account for several alternative sources of serial correlation. Estimation reveals that once serial correlation is taken into account, the subsequent fertility effects of early childbearing are either statistically eliminated or reversed. JEL classification: J13

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 9 (1996)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 197-218
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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:9:y:1996:i:2:p:197-218

Note: Received March 3, 1995 / Accepted February 23, 1996
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Related research
Keywords: Fertility · method of simulated moments;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Matthews, S. & Ribar, D. & Wilhelm, M., 1995. "The Effects of Economic Conditions and Access to Reproductive Health Services on State Abortion and Birth Rates," Papers 4-95-15, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
    Other versions:
  2. John Geweke & Michael Keane & David Runkle, 1994. "Alternative computational approaches to inference in the multinomial probit model," Staff Report 170, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Hotz, V Joseph & Miller, Robert A, 1988. "An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(1), pages 91-118, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. V. Joseph Hotz & Susan W. McElroy & Seth G. Sanders, . "The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers," University of Chicago - Population Research Center 95-10, Chicago - Population Research Center.
  5. V. Joseph Hotz & Susan Williams McElroy & Seth G. Sanders, 1995. "The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers," Working Papers 9501, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Gunnar Andersson, 2007. "Selectivity in higher-order childbearing in Sweden," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2007-003, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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